Davidson Wildcats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Davidson Wildcats. All of these projections for Davidson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Davidson Record and Rankings

Record: 24-9
Projected Final Record: 24.0-9.0

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 14-4
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 14.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 2

Davidson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 75
RPI Rank: 50
NET Rank: 65
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-3 5-2 4-2 12-2
Win % by Tier 0.400 0.714 0.667 0.857

Our current projections give the Davidson Wildcats a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 69.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 30.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Davidson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 3.0%
NIT #4 Seed 33.4%
NIT #5 Seed 21.0%
NIT #6 Seed 7.0%
NIT #7 Seed 4.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Davidson Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Davidson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 285 Cleveland St Home W 83-63
11/9 245 Dartmouth Home W 79-76
11/15 74 Wichita St Neutal W 57-53
11/16 12 Purdue Neutral L 58-79
11/18 79 Northeastern Neutal W 71-59
11/24 79 Northeastern Home W 78-69
11/27 268 Charlotte Home W 76-56
12/1 273 UNC Wilmington Away W 91-85
12/4 184 Winthrop Home W 99-81
12/15 56 Temple Neutral L 75-77
12/17 151 Wake Forest Away L 63-67
12/22 No Rank Central Penn Home W 88-54
12/29 4 North Carolina Away L 60-82
1/5 160 Duquesne Home W 65-61
1/9 150 George Mason Away W 61-56
1/12 47 VA Commonwealth Home W 64-57
1/15 178 St Joseph’s PA Away L 60-61
1/19 208 Richmond Home W 75-62
1/23 276 G Washington Home W 73-62
1/26 98 St Louis Away W 54-53
2/1 125 St Bonaventure Away W 75-66
2/6 129 Rhode Island Home W 68-53
2/9 239 Massachusetts Away L 51-54
2/12 265 Fordham Away W 79-69
2/15 178 St Joseph’s PA Home W 80-72
2/19 81 Dayton Home L 73-74
2/22 129 Rhode Island Away W 75-66
2/27 221 La Salle Away L 69-79
3/2 265 Fordham Home W 77-52
3/6 125 St Bonaventure Home W 64-46
3/9 208 Richmond Away W 73-69
3/15 178 St Joseph’s PA Neutal W 70-60
3/16 98 St Louis Neutral L 44-67