Davidson Wildcats Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Davidson Wildcats. All of these projections for Davidson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Davidson Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 18.6-10.4

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 11.2-6.8
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 4

Davidson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 97
RPI Rank: 47
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Davidson Wildcats a 47.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 14.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 38.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Davidson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 27.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 9.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 2.2%
NIT #3 Seed 2.4%
NIT #4 Seed 5.6%
NIT #5 Seed 4.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Davidson Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Davidson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 301 Cleveland St Home W 83-63
11/9 245 Dartmouth Home W 79-76
11/15 88 Wichita St Neutral 46.5%
11/24 94 Northeastern Home 55.1%
11/27 289 Charlotte Home 93.4%
12/1 234 UNC Wilmington Away 66.4%
12/4 154 Winthrop Home 80.4%
12/15 116 Temple Neutral 53.3%
12/17 103 Wake Forest Away 38.5%
12/22 No Rank Central Penn Home 98.8%
12/29 5 North Carolina Away 7%
1/5 175 Duquesne Home 80.4%
1/9 207 George Mason Away 62.8%
1/12 144 VA Commonwealth Home 76.2%
1/15 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 26.7%
1/19 199 Richmond Home 82.8%
1/23 252 G Washington Home 87.5%
1/26 146 St Louis Away 56.3%
2/1 90 St Bonaventure Away 36.2%
2/6 47 Rhode Island Home 39.9%
2/9 218 Massachusetts Away 66.4%
2/12 319 Fordham Away 86.8%
2/15 76 St Joseph’s PA Home 45.6%
2/19 179 Dayton Home 81.6%
2/22 47 Rhode Island Away 18.4%
2/27 209 La Salle Away 60.5%
3/2 319 Fordham Home 94.4%
3/6 90 St Bonaventure Home 55.1%
3/9 199 Richmond Away 61.8%