Davidson Wildcats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Davidson Wildcats. All of these projections for Davidson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Davidson Record and Rankings

Record: 13-5
Projected Final Record: 22.4-8.6

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 13.4-4.6
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 3

Davidson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 69
RPI Rank: 44
NET Rank: 72
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 3-0 5-2 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.714 1.000

Our current projections give the Davidson Wildcats a 23.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 57.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 19.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Davidson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.4%
NIT #2 Seed 8.2%
NIT #3 Seed 8.4%
NIT #4 Seed 13.0%
NIT #5 Seed 12.0%
NIT #6 Seed 8.6%
NIT #7 Seed 4.0%
NIT #8 Seed 1.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Davidson Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Davidson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 313 Cleveland St Home W 83-63
11/9 199 Dartmouth Home W 79-76
11/15 115 Wichita St Neutal W 57-53
11/16 15 Purdue Neutral L 58-79
11/18 105 Northeastern Neutal W 71-59
11/24 105 Northeastern Home W 78-69
11/27 238 Charlotte Home W 76-56
12/1 220 UNC Wilmington Away W 91-85
12/4 154 Winthrop Home W 99-81
12/15 54 Temple Neutral L 75-77
12/17 164 Wake Forest Away L 63-67
12/22 No Rank Central Penn Home W 88-54
12/29 10 North Carolina Away L 60-82
1/5 139 Duquesne Home W 65-61
1/9 137 George Mason Away W 61-56
1/12 52 VA Commonwealth Home W 64-57
1/15 168 St Joseph’s PA Away L 60-61
1/19 229 Richmond Home W 75-62
1/23 249 G Washington Home 92.6%
1/26 64 St Louis Away 39.9%
2/1 195 St Bonaventure Away 67.2%
2/6 129 Rhode Island Home 75.3%
2/9 197 Massachusetts Away 68.3%
2/12 235 Fordham Away 77.2%
2/15 168 St Joseph’s PA Home 83.3%
2/19 70 Dayton Home 57.8%
2/22 129 Rhode Island Away 54.4%
2/27 275 La Salle Away 80.2%
3/2 235 Fordham Home 91.4%
3/6 195 St Bonaventure Home 85.4%
3/9 229 Richmond Away 71.2%