Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens. All of these projections for Delaware are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Delaware Record and Rankings

Record: 17-16
Projected Final Record: 17.0-16.0

Colonial Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final Colonial Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 5

Delaware Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 231
RPI Rank: 202
NET Rank: 238
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 0-6 3-3 11-5
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.000 0.500 0.688

Our current projections give the Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Delaware’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Delaware Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 26 Maryland Away L 67-73
11/10 311 St Peter’s Away W 78-75
11/13 No Rank Chestnut Hill Home W 100-62
11/15 181 Cornell Away W 73-56
11/18 No Rank Wilmington DE Home W 70-40
11/23 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 65-84
11/26 137 Louisiana Tech Home W 75-71
11/30 352 MD E Shore Away W 71-62
12/2 203 Columbia Away W 87-86
12/5 247 Navy Home L 65-80
12/9 242 St Francis PA Home W 88-83
12/16 157 Stony Brook Away L 68-74
12/19 353 Delaware St Home L 71-73
12/28 95 Hofstra Away L 46-91
12/30 79 Northeastern Away W 82-80
1/3 196 William & Mary Home W 58-56
1/5 288 Elon Home W 77-65
1/10 273 UNC Wilmington Away W 82-69
1/12 109 Col Charleston Away L 58-71
1/17 257 James Madison Home W 76-69
1/19 284 Towson Home L 63-64
1/26 238 Drexel Home W 76-75
1/31 288 Elon Away L 56-57
2/2 196 William & Mary Away L 63-84
2/7 109 Col Charleston Home L 75-83
2/9 273 UNC Wilmington Home W 70-66
2/14 284 Towson Away W 78-71
2/16 257 James Madison Away L 61-68
2/23 238 Drexel Away L 60-68
2/28 79 Northeastern Home L 64-75
3/2 95 Hofstra Home L 70-92
3/10 196 William & Mary Neutal W 85-79
3/11 95 Hofstra Neutral L 74-78