Denver Pioneers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Denver Pioneers. All of these projections for Denver are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Denver Record and Rankings

Record: 8-22
Projected Final Record: 8.0-22.0

Summit Conference Record: 3-13
Projected Final Summit Record: 3.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 9

Denver Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 324
RPI Rank: 321
NET Rank: 324
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-2 0-8 7-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.467

Our current projections give the Denver Pioneers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Denver’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Denver Pioneers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Denver Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 336 Maine Home W 63-50
11/12 20 Kansas St Away L 56-64
11/15 140 Abilene Chr Home L 61-67
11/23 188 Seattle Away L 63-82
11/24 295 Longwood Neutal W 64-62
11/25 308 Fairfield Neutral L 85-86
11/28 194 N Colorado Home L 72-88
12/1 88 Utah Valley Away L 75-98
12/5 222 Air Force Away L 65-73
12/9 No Rank Western St CO Home W 93-69
12/11 315 Wyoming Away W 90-87
12/15 70 UC Irvine Away L 52-86
12/18 250 Montana St Home W 76-64
12/21 7 Gonzaga Away L 40-101
12/28 168 NE Omaha Away L 84-91
12/30 310 W Illinois Away L 60-78
1/2 249 South Dakota Home L 70-71
1/5 296 North Dakota Home L 59-80
1/10 133 S Dakota St Away L 66-78
1/16 205 N Dakota St Home W 80-65
1/20 292 Oral Roberts Home W 74-58
1/26 218 PFW Away L 81-91
2/3 133 S Dakota St Home L 82-92
2/7 292 Oral Roberts Away L 65-78
2/9 205 N Dakota St Away L 71-81
2/14 218 PFW Home L 81-94
2/20 249 South Dakota Away L 45-72
2/23 296 North Dakota Away L 63-81
2/28 310 W Illinois Home W 74-46
3/2 168 NE Omaha Home L 76-86