These are the latest projections for the Drake Bulldogs. All of these projections for Drake are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.
Drake Record and Rankings
Record: 19-7
Projected Final Record: 22.4-8.6
MVC Conference Record: 8-5
Projected Final MVC Record: 11.4-6.6
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 2
Drake Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume
DRatings Overall Rank: 119
RPI Rank: 68
NET Rank: 138
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out
Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.
Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)
| Tier 1 | Tier 2 | Tier 3 | Tier 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7-2 | 8-2 | Win % by Tier | 0.500 | 0.333 | 0.778 | 0.800 |
Our current projections give the Drake Bulldogs a 15.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 26.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 57.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Drake’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.
| Seed | Probability |
|---|---|
| NCAA #1 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #2 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #3 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #4 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #5 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #6 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #7 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #8 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #9 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #10 Seed | 0.0% |
| NCAA #11 Seed | 0.2% |
| NCAA #12 Seed | 0.4% |
| NCAA #13 Seed | 6.2% |
| NCAA #14 Seed | 7.6% |
| NCAA #15 Seed | 1.2% |
| NCAA #16 Seed | 0.2% |
| NIT #1 Seed | 0.2% |
| NIT #2 Seed | 0.4% |
| NIT #3 Seed | 0.2% |
| NIT #4 Seed | 0.8% |
| NIT #5 Seed | 0.4% |
| NIT #6 Seed | 2.8% |
| NIT #7 Seed | 15.0% |
| NIT #8 Seed | 6.8% |
Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Drake Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.
Drake Schedule and Game Projections
| Date | Oppo Rank | Opponent | Location | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/8 | No Rank | Buena Vista | Home | W | 98-52 |
| 11/13 | 92 | Colorado | Away | L | 71-100 |
| 11/17 | 105 | Texas St | Home | W | 75-69 |
| 11/21 | 263 | Missouri KC | Away | W | 66-63 |
| 11/27 | 172 | Boise St | Home | W | 83-74 |
| 12/1 | 218 | N Dakota St | Neutal | W | 95-88 |
| 12/6 | 294 | WI Milwaukee | Away | W | 75-61 |
| 12/15 | 17 | Iowa St | Neutral | L | 68-77 |
| 12/17 | 315 | SIUE | Home | W | 79-66 |
| 12/19 | 220 | Rider | Home | W | 76-58 |
| 12/22 | 55 | New Mexico St | Neutal | W | 66-63 |
| 12/23 | 109 | San Diego | Neutal | W | 110-103 |
| 12/29 | No Rank | McKendree | Home | W | 98-70 |
| 1/2 | 206 | Evansville | Away | L | 77-82 |
| 1/5 | 123 | Loyola-Chicago | Home | L | 74-85 |
| 1/8 | 162 | S Illinois | Home | W | 82-70 |
| 1/13 | 186 | Northern Iowa | Away | L | 54-57 |
| 1/16 | 175 | Bradley | Away | W | 69-52 |
| 1/20 | 164 | Missouri St | Home | W | 74-63 |
| 1/23 | 206 | Evansville | Home | W | 78-66 |
| 1/26 | 193 | Valparaiso | Away | W | 70-59 |
| 1/30 | 166 | Illinois St | Home | L | 55-69 |
| 2/2 | 176 | Indiana St | Away | W | 68-62 |
| 2/5 | 123 | Loyola-Chicago | Away | L | 64-86 |
| 2/9 | 186 | Northern Iowa | Home | W | 83-77 |
| 2/12 | 162 | S Illinois | Away | W | 72-69 |
| 2/16 | 193 | Valparaiso | Home | 81.6% | |
| 2/19 | 175 | Bradley | Home | 76.2% | |
| 2/24 | 166 | Illinois St | Away | 53.7% | |
| 2/27 | 176 | Indiana St | Home | 78.7% | |
| 3/2 | 164 | Missouri St | Away | 51.5% |