Drake Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Drake Bulldogs. All of these projections for Drake are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.

Drake Record and Rankings

Record: 19-7
Projected Final Record: 22.4-8.6

MVC Conference Record: 8-5
Projected Final MVC Record: 11.4-6.6
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 2

Drake Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 119
RPI Rank: 68
NET Rank: 138
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 1-2 7-2 8-2
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.333 0.778 0.800

Our current projections give the Drake Bulldogs a 15.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 26.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 57.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Drake’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 7.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 2.8%
NIT #7 Seed 15.0%
NIT #8 Seed 6.8%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Drake Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Drake Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 No Rank Buena Vista Home W 98-52
11/13 92 Colorado Away L 71-100
11/17 105 Texas St Home W 75-69
11/21 263 Missouri KC Away W 66-63
11/27 172 Boise St Home W 83-74
12/1 218 N Dakota St Neutal W 95-88
12/6 294 WI Milwaukee Away W 75-61
12/15 17 Iowa St Neutral L 68-77
12/17 315 SIUE Home W 79-66
12/19 220 Rider Home W 76-58
12/22 55 New Mexico St Neutal W 66-63
12/23 109 San Diego Neutal W 110-103
12/29 No Rank McKendree Home W 98-70
1/2 206 Evansville Away L 77-82
1/5 123 Loyola-Chicago Home L 74-85
1/8 162 S Illinois Home W 82-70
1/13 186 Northern Iowa Away L 54-57
1/16 175 Bradley Away W 69-52
1/20 164 Missouri St Home W 74-63
1/23 206 Evansville Home W 78-66
1/26 193 Valparaiso Away W 70-59
1/30 166 Illinois St Home L 55-69
2/2 176 Indiana St Away W 68-62
2/5 123 Loyola-Chicago Away L 64-86
2/9 186 Northern Iowa Home W 83-77
2/12 162 S Illinois Away W 72-69
2/16 193 Valparaiso Home 81.6%
2/19 175 Bradley Home 76.2%
2/24 166 Illinois St Away 53.7%
2/27 176 Indiana St Home 78.7%
3/2 164 Missouri St Away 51.5%