Drake Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Drake Bulldogs. All of these projections for Drake are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Drake Record and Rankings

Record: 13-5
Projected Final Record: 21.4-9.6

MVC Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final MVC Record: 10.4-7.6
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 2

Drake Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 122
RPI Rank: 68
NET Rank: 135
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 2-1 3-3 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.667 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Drake Bulldogs a 15.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 16.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 68.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Drake’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 1.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 3.0%
NIT #7 Seed 7.0%
NIT #8 Seed 2.8%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Drake Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Drake Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 No Rank Buena Vista Home W 98-52
11/13 108 Colorado Away L 71-100
11/17 96 Texas St Home W 75-69
11/21 243 Missouri KC Away W 66-63
11/27 154 Boise St Home W 83-74
12/1 249 N Dakota St Neutal W 95-88
12/6 288 WI Milwaukee Away W 75-61
12/15 18 Iowa St Neutral L 68-77
12/17 325 SIUE Home W 79-66
12/19 170 Rider Home W 76-58
12/22 92 New Mexico St Neutal W 66-63
12/23 129 San Diego Neutal W 110-103
12/29 No Rank McKendree Home W 98-70
1/2 171 Evansville Away L 77-82
1/5 111 Loyola-Chicago Home L 74-85
1/8 148 S Illinois Home W 82-70
1/13 191 Northern Iowa Away L 54-57
1/16 219 Bradley Away W 69-52
1/20 196 Missouri St Home 81.6%
1/23 171 Evansville Home 75.3%
1/26 175 Valparaiso Away 55.5%
1/30 172 Illinois St Home 74.8%
2/2 163 Indiana St Away 52.6%
2/5 111 Loyola-Chicago Away 36.9%
2/9 191 Northern Iowa Home 80.4%
2/12 148 S Illinois Away 45.2%
2/16 175 Valparaiso Home 75.3%
2/19 219 Bradley Home 82.6%
2/24 172 Illinois St Away 52.9%
2/27 163 Indiana St Home 71.8%
3/2 196 Missouri St Away 57.1%