Drexel Dragons Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Drexel Dragons. All of these projections for Drexel are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Drexel Record and Rankings

Record: 10-11
Projected Final Record: 14.3-16.7

Colonial Conference Record: 4-4
Projected Final Colonial Record: 8.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 5

Drexel Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 223
RPI Rank: 223
NET Rank: 249
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-3 0-4 8-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.000 0.800

Our current projections give the Drexel Dragons a 0.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Drexel’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Drexel Dragons. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Drexel Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 162 E Michigan Away L 62-66
11/11 126 Rutgers Away L 66-95
11/14 No Rank Bryn Athyn Home W 118-41
11/17 275 La Salle Away W 89-84
11/21 242 Boston Univ Home W 86-67
11/25 117 Bowling Green Away L 71-81
11/28 153 NJIT Home L 67-70
12/1 262 Robert Morris Home W 82-69
12/5 278 Loyola MD Home W 95-86
12/8 264 UMBC Home L 76-91
12/16 263 Quinnipiac Neutal W 92-83
12/18 95 Connecticut Away L 65-97
12/22 54 Temple Neutral L 64-82
12/28 105 Northeastern Away L 83-93
12/30 58 Hofstra Away L 75-89
1/3 315 Elon Home W 79-65
1/5 226 William & Mary Home L 66-84
1/10 120 Col Charleston Away W 79-78
1/12 220 UNC Wilmington Away L 83-97
1/17 298 Towson Home W 72-66
1/19 246 James Madison Home W 73-68
1/26 203 Delaware Away 35.5%
1/31 226 William & Mary Away 36.9%
2/2 315 Elon Away 58.5%
2/7 220 UNC Wilmington Home 59.2%
2/9 120 Col Charleston Home 34.7%
2/14 246 James Madison Away 42.2%
2/16 298 Towson Away 52.6%
2/23 203 Delaware Home 56.5%
2/28 58 Hofstra Home 22.8%
3/2 105 Northeastern Home 32.8%