Eastern Illinois Panthers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Eastern Illinois Panthers. All of these projections for E Illinois are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

E Illinois Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 16.4-14.6

OVC Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final OVC Record: 9.4-8.6
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 5

E Illinois Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 230
RPI Rank: 217
NET Rank: 287
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 2-3 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.400 0.778

Our current projections give the Eastern Illinois Panthers a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account E Illinois’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Eastern Illinois Panthers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

E Illinois Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 39 Texas Away L 59-71
11/10 201 IUPUI Away L 65-71
11/17 319 W Illinois Home W 68-66
11/23 168 Gardner Webb Neutal W 79-78
11/24 211 Arkansas St Neutal W 90-86
11/25 214 UNC Wilmington Neutral L 65-82
11/28 188 PFW Home L 60-104
12/1 343 Chicago St Away L 72-80
12/4 No Rank Fontbonne Home W 90-37
12/8 319 W Illinois Away W 74-67
12/15 219 Bradley Away W 73-66
12/21 18 Iowa St Away L 53-101
12/30 294 North Alabama Home W 81-70
1/3 322 TN Martin Home W 92-87
1/5 325 SIUE Home W 84-81
1/10 117 Jacksonville St Away L 62-69
1/12 324 Tennessee Tech Away W 67-60
1/17 51 Murray St Home 18.2%
1/19 127 Austin Peay Home 35.5%
1/24 322 TN Martin Away 57.5%
1/26 317 SE Missouri St Away 56.7%
1/31 240 E Kentucky Home 60.8%
2/2 259 Morehead St Home 62.5%
2/7 51 Murray St Away 7%
2/9 127 Austin Peay Away 14.3%
2/14 325 SIUE Away 57.8%
2/16 317 SE Missouri St Home 79.7%
2/21 68 Belmont Away 8.2%
2/23 332 Tennessee St Away 59.2%
2/28 117 Jacksonville St Home 36.6%
3/2 324 Tennessee Tech Home 81.6%