Eastern Kentucky Colonels Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Eastern Kentucky Colonels. All of these projections for E Kentucky are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

E Kentucky Record and Rankings

Record: 7-10
Projected Final Record: 14.1-16.9

OVC Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final OVC Record: 7.1-10.9
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 7

E Kentucky Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 240
RPI Rank: 180
NET Rank: 221
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-4 2-1 3-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 0.750

Our current projections give the Eastern Kentucky Colonels a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account E Kentucky’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Eastern Kentucky Colonels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

E Kentucky Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 110 Marshall Home L 77-105
11/10 261 Chattanooga Away W 81-78
11/13 No Rank Midway Home W 107-52
11/16 32 Kansas St Neutral L 68-95
11/17 191 Northern Iowa Neutral L 85-90
11/19 344 Kennesaw Neutal W 100-81
11/28 3 Tennessee Away L 67-95
12/1 209 High Point Away W 70-69
12/5 328 SC Upstate Home W 79-77
12/8 109 N Kentucky Home W 76-74
12/15 76 Xavier Away L 77-95
12/22 141 Duquesne Away L 84-85
12/29 No Rank Brescia Home W 145-72
1/3 127 Austin Peay Away L 75-93
1/5 51 Murray St Away L 85-97
1/10 332 Tennessee St Away L 81-82
1/12 68 Belmont Away L 93-109
1/17 322 TN Martin Home 81.1%
1/19 317 SE Missouri St Home 79.9%
1/24 117 Jacksonville St Home 34.7%
1/26 324 Tennessee Tech Home 82.1%
1/31 230 E Illinois Away 39.2%
2/2 325 SIUE Away 57.5%
2/7 68 Belmont Home 24.3%
2/9 332 Tennessee St Home 82.8%
2/14 259 Morehead St Away 41.2%
2/16 51 Murray St Home 19.4%
2/21 324 Tennessee Tech Away 57.1%
2/23 117 Jacksonville St Away 13.9%
2/28 127 Austin Peay Home 37.2%
3/2 259 Morehead St Home 61.8%