Elon Phoenix Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Elon Phoenix. All of these projections for Elon are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Elon Record and Rankings

Record: 6-14
Projected Final Record: 8.6-22.4

Colonial Conference Record: 2-5
Projected Final Colonial Record: 4.6-13.4
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 10

Elon Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 315
RPI Rank: 300
NET Rank: 320
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 1-5 3-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.375

Our current projections give the Elon Phoenix a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Elon’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Elon Phoenix. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Elon Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 333 Manhattan Away W 62-56
11/9 10 North Carolina Home L 67-116
11/15 No Rank Milligan Home W 98-71
11/22 147 Abilene Chr Neutral L 56-72
11/23 306 UC Riverside Neutral L 64-77
11/24 179 Pacific Away L 57-65
11/27 No Rank Central Penn Home W 92-59
12/1 242 Boston Univ Home L 58-65
12/4 68 Furman Home L 77-98
12/7 53 UNC Greensboro Home L 74-75
12/16 233 Canisius Home L 91-92
12/18 348 Kennesaw Away W 76-67
12/22 244 Missouri KC Away L 59-95
12/28 298 Towson Home L 60-77
12/30 246 James Madison Home W 68-65
1/3 223 Drexel Away L 65-79
1/5 203 Delaware Away L 65-77
1/10 105 Northeastern Home L 70-81
1/12 58 Hofstra Home L 71-74
1/19 226 William & Mary Away W 76-71
1/24 120 Col Charleston Away 6.6%
1/26 220 UNC Wilmington Away 17.2%
1/31 203 Delaware Home 38.5%
2/2 223 Drexel Home 41.5%
2/7 58 Hofstra Away 1.5%
2/9 105 Northeastern Away 6.6%
2/16 226 William & Mary Home 39.9%
2/21 220 UNC Wilmington Home 41.5%
2/23 120 Col Charleston Home 19.1%
2/28 246 James Madison Away 19.6%
3/2 298 Towson Away 31.7%