Elon Phoenix Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Elon Phoenix. All of these projections for Elon are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Elon Record and Rankings

Record: 11-21
Projected Final Record: 11.0-21.0

Colonial Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final Colonial Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 7

Elon Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 288
RPI Rank: 276
NET Rank: 277
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-5 1-5 8-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.500

Our current projections give the Elon Phoenix a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Elon’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Elon Phoenix. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Elon Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 307 Manhattan Away W 62-56
11/9 4 North Carolina Home L 67-116
11/15 No Rank Milligan Home W 98-71
11/22 140 Abilene Chr Neutral L 56-72
11/23 316 UC Riverside Neutral L 64-77
11/24 199 Pacific Away L 57-65
11/27 No Rank Central Penn Home W 92-59
12/1 241 Boston Univ Home L 58-65
12/4 59 Furman Home L 77-98
12/7 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 74-75
12/16 259 Canisius Home L 91-92
12/18 335 Kennesaw Away W 76-67
12/22 246 Missouri KC Away L 59-95
12/28 284 Towson Home L 60-77
12/30 257 James Madison Home W 68-65
1/3 238 Drexel Away L 65-79
1/5 231 Delaware Away L 65-77
1/10 79 Northeastern Home L 70-81
1/12 95 Hofstra Home L 71-74
1/19 196 William & Mary Away W 76-71
1/24 109 Col Charleston Away L 53-72
1/26 273 UNC Wilmington Away W 89-82
1/31 231 Delaware Home W 57-56
2/2 238 Drexel Home L 63-67
2/7 95 Hofstra Away L 61-102
2/9 79 Northeastern Away L 60-72
2/16 196 William & Mary Home L 74-84
2/21 273 UNC Wilmington Home W 84-77
2/23 109 Col Charleston Home L 74-84
2/28 257 James Madison Away W 73-58
3/2 284 Towson Away W 86-66
3/9 273 UNC Wilmington Neutral L 86-93