Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. All of these projections for FL Gulf Coast are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

FL Gulf Coast Record and Rankings

Record: 6-13
Projected Final Record: 11.3-19.7

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 6.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 6

FL Gulf Coast Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 273
RPI Rank: 250
NET Rank: 263
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 0-7 4-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.667

Our current projections give the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account FL Gulf Coast’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

FL Gulf Coast Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 159 Illinois St Away L 66-74
11/8 No Rank Southeastern FL Home W 81-54
11/11 2 Michigan St Away L 82-106
11/16 141 S Dakota St Home W 84-78
11/19 62 Toledo Neutral L 62-90
11/20 215 Colorado St Neutral L 74-82
11/21 181 UT San Antonio Neutral L 65-76
11/25 186 FL Atlantic Away L 68-85
11/28 177 Florida Intl Home L 80-81
12/2 166 Colgate Home L 56-74
12/5 271 Oral Roberts Away W 96-76
12/16 264 UMBC Away W 76-53
12/19 No Rank Keiser Home W 87-85
12/22 40 Florida Neutral L 56-77
12/29 23 Mississippi Away L 57-87
1/5 75 Liberty Home L 63-81
1/8 290 North Alabama Away L 56-61
1/12 172 North Florida Away L 66-87
1/19 348 Kennesaw Away W 72-59
1/21 345 Stetson Home 86.4%
1/24 50 Lipscomb Away 2.3%
1/27 172 North Florida Home 37.2%
1/30 153 NJIT Away 15.5%
2/2 287 Jacksonville Home 62.1%
2/6 290 North Alabama Home 68.7%
2/9 75 Liberty Away 7%
2/13 153 NJIT Home 37.2%
2/16 345 Stetson Away 65.3%
2/20 50 Lipscomb Home 13.2%
2/23 348 Kennesaw Home 87.3%
3/1 287 Jacksonville Away 43.1%