Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. All of these projections for FL Gulf Coast are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

FL Gulf Coast Record and Rankings

Record: 20-10
Projected Final Record: 20.7-10.3

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 11-2
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 11.7-2.3
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 1

FL Gulf Coast Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 158
RPI Rank: 161
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-0 3-2 13-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.600 0.765

Our current projections give the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account FL Gulf Coast’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 54.6%
NIT #8 Seed 45.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

FL Gulf Coast Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 131 Illinois St Home W 98-87
11/13 291 Siena Away W 86-53
11/18 189 Bowling Green Away L 80-83
11/21 48 MTSU Away L 72-85
11/24 202 Denver Home W 79-71
11/25 211 Navy Home W 70-54
11/26 275 St Francis NY Home W 75-51
11/29 No Rank Webber Home W 115-61
12/2 48 MTSU Home L 76-81
12/5 250 FL Atlantic Home L 88-92
12/9 169 UT Arlington Away W 85-78
12/16 229 Oral Roberts Home L 64-83
12/19 258 Florida Intl Away L 88-91
12/22 17 Wichita St Away L 65-75
12/27 19 Rhode Island Away L 60-80
12/29 No Rank FL Memorial Home W 76-42
12/31 No Rank Florida Tech Home W 62-54
1/6 312 Stetson Home W 90-52
1/11 340 SC Upstate Home W 75-58
1/13 261 NJIT Home W 68-54
1/18 165 Lipscomb Away W 88-83
1/20 296 Kennesaw Away W 66-49
1/24 263 North Florida Away W 96-87
1/27 308 Jacksonville Home W 68-62
1/29 263 North Florida Home W 103-70
2/3 308 Jacksonville Away W 80-55
2/8 261 NJIT Away W 75-70
2/10 340 SC Upstate Away W 88-71
2/15 296 Kennesaw Home L 93-97
2/17 165 Lipscomb Home L 87-90
2/22 312 Stetson Away 72.1%