Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. All of these projections for FL Gulf Coast are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

FL Gulf Coast Record and Rankings

Record: 23-12
Projected Final Record: 23.0-12.0

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 14-3
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 14.0-3.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 1

FL Gulf Coast Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 160
RPI Rank: 172
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 2-1 2-3 16-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.667 0.400 0.800

Our current projections give the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account FL Gulf Coast’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 100.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

FL Gulf Coast Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 119 Illinois St Home W 98-87
11/13 312 Siena Away W 86-53
11/18 209 Bowling Green Away L 80-83
11/21 65 MTSU Away L 72-85
11/24 193 Denver Home W 79-71
11/25 234 Navy Home W 70-54
11/26 293 St Francis NY Home W 75-51
11/29 No Rank Webber Home W 115-61
12/2 65 MTSU Home L 76-81
12/5 259 FL Atlantic Home L 88-92
12/9 140 UT Arlington Away W 85-78
12/16 224 Oral Roberts Home L 64-83
12/19 251 Florida Intl Away L 88-91
12/22 18 Wichita St Away L 65-75
12/27 44 Rhode Island Away L 60-80
12/29 No Rank FL Memorial Home W 76-42
12/31 No Rank Florida Tech Home W 62-54
1/6 315 Stetson Home W 90-52
1/11 340 SC Upstate Home W 75-58
1/13 267 NJIT Home W 68-54
1/18 150 Lipscomb Away W 88-83
1/20 309 Kennesaw Away W 66-49
1/24 266 North Florida Away W 96-87
1/27 302 Jacksonville Home W 68-62
1/29 266 North Florida Home W 103-70
2/3 302 Jacksonville Away W 80-55
2/8 267 NJIT Away W 75-70
2/10 340 SC Upstate Away W 88-71
2/15 309 Kennesaw Home L 93-97
2/17 150 Lipscomb Home L 87-90
2/22 315 Stetson Away W 76-60
2/26 340 SC Upstate Home W 96-76
3/1 266 North Florida Home W 95-72
3/4 150 Lipscomb Home L 96-108
3/13 37 Oklahoma St Away L 68-80