Furman Paladins Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Furman Paladins. All of these projections for Furman are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Furman Record and Rankings

Record: 10-0
Projected Final Record: 25.7-4.3

Southern Conference Record: 1-0
Projected Final Southern Record: 14.3-3.7
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 1

Furman Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 31
RPI Rank: 90
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-0 0-0 1-0 5-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 0.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Furman Paladins a 23.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 53.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 23.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Furman’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.6%
NIT #3 Seed 2.6%
NIT #4 Seed 3.2%
NIT #5 Seed 6.0%
NIT #6 Seed 11.2%
NIT #7 Seed 13.6%
NIT #8 Seed 13.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Furman Paladins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Furman Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Bob Jones Home W 102-48
11/9 107 Loyola-Chicago Away W 60-58
11/13 181 Gardner Webb Home W 88-86
11/15 No Rank North Greenville Home W 107-67
11/17 17 Villanova Away W 76-68
11/21 No Rank S Wesleyan Home W 74-57
11/25 349 UNC Asheville Away W 65-51
12/1 276 W Carolina Home W 90-88
12/4 315 Elon Away W 98-77
12/8 318 SC Upstate Away W 74-60
12/11 275 Charleston So Home 98.6%
12/15 201 UNC Wilmington Home 93.4%
12/21 47 LSU Away 45.2%
12/29 93 ETSU Away 60.8%
1/3 176 Mercer Home 92%
1/5 124 Citadel Home 84%
1/10 321 VMI Away 93.4%
1/12 86 UNC Greensboro Away 57.8%
1/19 64 Wofford Away 53.7%
1/24 309 Chattanooga Home 98.5%
1/26 111 Samford Home 82.1%
1/31 124 Citadel Away 64.1%
2/2 176 Mercer Away 78.2%
2/7 276 W Carolina Away 89.4%
2/9 93 ETSU Home 79.4%
2/14 86 UNC Greensboro Home 76.2%
2/16 321 VMI Home 98.5%
2/23 64 Wofford Home 69.1%
2/28 111 Samford Away 60.8%
3/2 309 Chattanooga Away 91.7%