Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs. All of these projections for Gardner Webb are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Gardner Webb Record and Rankings

Record: 23-11
Projected Final Record: 23.0-11.0

Big South Conference Record: 10-6
Projected Final Big South Record: 10.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 4

Gardner Webb Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 163
RPI Rank: 134
NET Rank: 173
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-1 3-5 16-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.375 0.889

Our current projections give the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Gardner Webb’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 98.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Gardner Webb Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 47 VA Commonwealth Away L 57-69
11/9 17 Virginia Tech Away L 59-87
11/13 59 Furman Away L 86-88
11/16 337 Savannah St Away W 97-77
11/23 294 E Illinois Neutral L 78-79
11/24 273 UNC Wilmington Neutal W 81-72
11/25 244 Arkansas St Neutral L 69-77
11/28 344 SC Upstate Away W 74-61
12/1 337 Savannah St Home W 97-60
12/6 No Rank Bob Jones Home W 105-37
12/8 No Rank J&W NC Home W 102-55
12/13 335 Kennesaw Home W 81-77
12/17 99 Georgia Tech Away W 79-69
12/19 No Rank Brevard Home W 106-29
12/29 151 Wake Forest Away W 73-69
1/5 185 Campbell Away L 61-72
1/12 344 SC Upstate Home W 64-59
1/17 141 Radford Away L 58-75
1/19 226 Hampton Home W 87-74
1/24 184 Winthrop Away L 88-97
1/26 193 Charleston So Away L 60-74
1/30 229 High Point Home W 69-67
2/2 349 UNC Asheville Home W 82-81
2/7 295 Longwood Away W 89-88
2/9 227 Presbyterian Away L 101-103
2/13 193 Charleston So Home W 77-74
2/16 184 Winthrop Home W 64-60
2/21 349 UNC Asheville Away W 65-55
2/23 229 High Point Away L 79-87
2/27 227 Presbyterian Home W 78-70
3/2 295 Longwood Home W 66-47
3/7 229 High Point Neutal W 75-69
3/8 185 Campbell Away W 79-74
3/10 141 Radford Away W 76-65