Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs. All of these projections for Gardner Webb are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Gardner Webb Record and Rankings

Record: 12-7
Projected Final Record: 19.9-11.1

Big South Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Big South Record: 10.9-6.1
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 3

Gardner Webb Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 173
RPI Rank: 179
NET Rank: 153
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-0 3-2 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.600 0.857

Our current projections give the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs a 12.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 87.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Gardner Webb’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 9.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Gardner Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Gardner Webb Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 52 VA Commonwealth Away L 57-69
11/9 11 Virginia Tech Away L 59-87
11/13 68 Furman Away L 86-88
11/16 341 Savannah St Away W 97-77
11/23 222 E Illinois Neutral L 78-79
11/24 220 UNC Wilmington Neutal W 81-72
11/25 228 Arkansas St Neutral L 69-77
11/28 330 SC Upstate Away W 74-61
12/1 341 Savannah St Home W 97-60
12/6 No Rank Bob Jones Home W 105-37
12/8 No Rank J&W NC Home W 102-55
12/13 348 Kennesaw Home W 81-77
12/17 89 Georgia Tech Away W 79-69
12/19 No Rank Brevard Home W 106-29
12/29 164 Wake Forest Away W 73-69
1/5 221 Campbell Away L 61-72
1/12 330 SC Upstate Home W 64-59
1/17 108 Radford Away L 58-75
1/19 299 Hampton Home W 87-74
1/24 154 Winthrop Away 32.8%
1/26 284 Charleston So Away 61.1%
1/30 204 High Point Home 70.3%
2/2 353 UNC Asheville Home 98.7%
2/7 230 Longwood Away 54.8%
2/9 213 Presbyterian Away 51.8%
2/13 284 Charleston So Home 82.1%
2/16 154 Winthrop Home 52.9%
2/21 353 UNC Asheville Away 92.7%
2/23 204 High Point Away 50%
2/27 213 Presbyterian Home 70.3%
3/2 230 Longwood Home 73.8%