George Mason Patriots Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the George Mason Patriots. All of these projections for George Mason are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

George Mason Record and Rankings

Record: 0-2
Projected Final Record: 13.1-16.9

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 7.6-10.4
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 11

George Mason Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 207
RPI Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the George Mason Patriots a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account George Mason’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the George Mason Patriots. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

George Mason Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 100 Penn Home L 71-72
11/9 214 American Univ Home L 75-78
11/13 168 Ga Southern Away 36.9%
11/17 316 Southern Univ Home 90.6%
11/20 290 NC Central Home 85.2%
11/23 52 Cincinnati Neutal 16.5%
11/28 333 Morgan St Home 93%
12/1 182 William & Mary Away 37.9%
12/3 77 Vermont Home 34.7%
12/7 205 James Madison Home 64.9%
12/21 264 Navy Home 82.1%
12/29 46 Kansas St Away 8%
1/3 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 10.6%
1/6 90 St Bonaventure Home 33.6%
1/9 97 Davidson Home 37.2%
1/13 47 Rhode Island Away 7.8%
1/16 218 Massachusetts Away 45.6%
1/19 319 Fordham Home 86.8%
1/23 179 Dayton Away 36.9%
1/26 252 G Washington Home 69.5%
2/2 144 VA Commonwealth Away 27.7%
2/6 199 Richmond Away 39.2%
2/10 209 La Salle Home 56.1%
2/13 218 Massachusetts Home 64.5%
2/17 90 St Bonaventure Away 14.3%
2/23 175 Duquesne Home 51.8%
2/27 199 Richmond Home 57.3%
3/2 146 St Louis Away 28.2%
3/5 144 VA Commonwealth Home 46.3%
3/9 252 G Washington Away 51.1%