Georgetown Hoyas Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Georgetown Hoyas. All of these projections for Georgetown are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Georgetown Record and Rankings

Record: 12-6
Projected Final Record: 16.7-14.3

Big East Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Big East Record: 6.7-11.3
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 9

Georgetown Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 86
RPI Rank: 111
NET Rank: 95
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 0-1 4-2 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.000 0.667 1.000

Our current projections give the Georgetown Hoyas a 9.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 29.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 61.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Georgetown’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.2%
NIT #2 Seed 2.8%
NIT #3 Seed 3.6%
NIT #4 Seed 4.8%
NIT #5 Seed 6.0%
NIT #6 Seed 6.4%
NIT #7 Seed 3.6%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgetown Hoyas. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Georgetown Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 351 MD E Shore Home W 68-53
11/10 247 Central Conn Home W 85-78
11/13 125 Illinois Away W 88-80
11/16 143 Loy Marymount Neutral L 52-65
11/18 131 South Florida Neutal W 76-73
11/24 221 Campbell Home W 93-85
11/28 229 Richmond Home W 90-82
12/3 75 Liberty Home W 88-78
12/8 41 Syracuse Away L 71-72
12/15 121 SMU Home L 73-81
12/18 303 Appalachian St Home W 83-73
12/22 266 Ark Little Rock Home W 102-94
12/29 322 Howard Home W 102-67
1/2 42 Butler Away W 84-76
1/5 38 St John’s Home L 94-97
1/9 74 Xavier Away L 75-81
1/12 80 Providence Home W 96-90
1/15 18 Marquette Home L 71-74
1/21 60 Creighton Home 51.8%
1/27 38 St John’s Away 17.7%
1/31 74 Xavier Home 57.8%
2/3 25 Villanova Away 13%
2/6 80 Providence Away 35.9%
2/9 42 Butler Home 43.5%
2/13 48 Seton Hall Away 21.8%
2/20 25 Villanova Home 37.2%
2/23 60 Creighton Away 29%
2/27 88 DePaul Home 63.1%
3/2 48 Seton Hall Home 48.2%
3/6 88 DePaul Away 41.2%
3/9 18 Marquette Away 14.1%