Georgia Southern Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Georgia Southern Eagles. All of these projections for Ga Southern are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Ga Southern Record and Rankings

Record: 6-2
Projected Final Record: 22.0-9.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 11.4-4.6
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 2

Ga Southern Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 99
RPI Rank: 36
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-0 2-1 2-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.667 1.000

Our current projections give the Georgia Southern Eagles a 28.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 29.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 42.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ga Southern’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 10.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 10.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 2.0%
NIT #5 Seed 4.4%
NIT #6 Seed 7.8%
NIT #7 Seed 10.4%
NIT #8 Seed 2.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgia Southern Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ga Southern Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 139-51
11/13 192 George Mason Home W 98-89
11/16 171 FL Atlantic Neutal W 80-70
11/17 195 Pepperdine Neutal W 88-78
11/18 122 Montana Neutal W 80-77
11/27 93 ETSU Home L 64-69
11/29 32 Arizona Away L 70-100
12/8 176 Mercer Away W 89-74
12/11 56 UCF Away 23.3%
12/14 No Rank Brewton-Parker Home 98.8%
12/18 130 Bradley Home 69.5%
12/21 113 Radford Away 43.7%
12/29 67 Dayton Away 28.6%
1/3 127 Texas St Away 48.2%
1/5 243 UT Arlington Away 72.9%
1/10 261 ULM Home 91.1%
1/12 No Rank Louisiana Home 98.7%
1/17 212 Troy Away 66%
1/19 230 South Alabama Away 68.3%
1/24 243 UT Arlington Home 87.8%
1/26 127 Texas St Home 65.6%
2/2 97 Georgia St Away 41.2%
2/6 No Rank Louisiana Away 92.9%
2/8 261 ULM Away 72.1%
2/13 230 South Alabama Home 85.2%
2/15 212 Troy Home 84%
2/21 219 Coastal Car Away 64.5%
2/23 197 Appalachian St Away 62.5%
2/28 257 Ark Little Rock Home 86.4%
3/2 267 Arkansas St Home 88.1%
3/9 97 Georgia St Home 58.2%