Georgia Southern Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Georgia Southern Eagles. All of these projections for Ga Southern are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Ga Southern Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 18.9-12.1

Sun Belt Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 10.9-7.1
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 3

Ga Southern Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 131
RPI Rank: 79
NET Rank: 139
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-3 3-1 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.750 1.000

Our current projections give the Georgia Southern Eagles a 24.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 12.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 63.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ga Southern’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 4.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 8.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 8.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 2.8%
NIT #7 Seed 4.4%
NIT #8 Seed 3.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgia Southern Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ga Southern Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 139-51
11/13 135 George Mason Home W 98-89
11/16 189 FL Atlantic Neutal W 80-70
11/17 182 Pepperdine Neutal W 88-78
11/18 142 Montana Neutal W 80-77
11/27 55 ETSU Home L 64-69
11/29 44 Arizona Away L 70-100
12/8 210 Mercer Away W 89-74
12/11 48 UCF Away L 88-95
12/14 No Rank Brewton-Parker Home W 101-64
12/18 219 Bradley Home W 79-74
12/21 118 Radford Away L 68-80
12/29 73 Dayton Away L 90-94
1/3 96 Texas St Away L 70-73
1/5 233 UT Arlington Away W 77-64
1/10 162 ULM Home W 79-78
1/12 155 Louisiana Home L 85-87
1/17 183 Troy Away 57.5%
1/19 265 South Alabama Away 67.2%
1/24 233 UT Arlington Home 84%
1/26 96 Texas St Home 55.5%
2/2 71 Georgia St Away 28.2%
2/6 155 Louisiana Away 48.5%
2/8 162 ULM Away 48.9%
2/13 265 South Alabama Home 85%
2/15 183 Troy Home 77.2%
2/21 229 Coastal Car Away 61.1%
2/23 291 Appalachian St Away 66.4%
2/28 248 Ark Little Rock Home 83.3%
3/2 211 Arkansas St Home 82.1%
3/9 71 Georgia St Home 47.4%