Georgia State Panthers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Georgia State Panthers. All of these projections for Georgia St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Georgia St Record and Rankings

Record: 24-11
Projected Final Record: 24.0-11.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 15-6
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 15.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 2

Georgia St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 122
RPI Rank: 131
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-1 7-4 13-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.636 0.722

Our current projections give the Georgia State Panthers a 56.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 44.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Georgia St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 27.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 28.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgia State Panthers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Georgia St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 90-50
11/14 314 Rice Away W 75-54
11/17 103 Mississippi Away L 72-77
11/20 131 E Washington Las Vegas, NV W 68-50
11/22 287 Prairie View Las Vegas, NV L 56-71
11/26 167 Tulane Home W 70-59
11/29 350 Alabama A&M Away W 63-53
12/4 196 Liberty Home L 74-77
12/9 73 Montana Home W 71-68
12/12 No Rank Point Home W 90-70
12/16 158 Dayton Away L 83-88
12/20 200 Massachusetts Away W 71-63
12/23 296 Chattanooga Away W 71-48
12/29 247 South Alabama Away L 64-86
12/31 192 Troy Away L 66-68
1/4 299 Ark Little Rock Home W 73-64
1/6 283 Arkansas St Home W 79-75
1/11 222 Appalachian St Away W 71-58
1/13 229 Coastal Car Away W 72-58
1/20 163 Ga Southern Home W 83-66
1/25 140 UT Arlington Home W 81-75
1/27 230 Texas St Home W 54-50
2/1 283 Arkansas St Away W 77-66
2/3 299 Ark Little Rock Away W 81-51
2/8 83 ULL Home W 106-92
2/10 220 ULM Home L 82-90
2/16 163 Ga Southern Away L 80-85
2/22 230 Texas St Away W 77-50
2/24 140 UT Arlington Away L 81-89
3/1 192 Troy Home L 70-83
3/3 247 South Alabama Home W 90-75
3/9 192 Troy New Orleans, LA W 73-51
3/10 163 Ga Southern New Orleans, LA W 73-67
3/11 140 UT Arlington New Orleans, LA W 74-61
3/16 5 Cincinnati NCAA Tournament Nashville TN L 53-68