Georgia State Panthers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Georgia State Panthers. All of these projections for Georgia St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Georgia St Record and Rankings

Record: 6-3
Projected Final Record: 22.4-8.6

Sun Belt Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 11.5-4.5
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 1

Georgia St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 97
RPI Rank: 53
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-1 2-0 3-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Georgia State Panthers a 34.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 37.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 28.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Georgia St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 3.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 14.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 8.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.6%
NIT #1 Seed 2.0%
NIT #2 Seed 1.0%
NIT #3 Seed 3.2%
NIT #4 Seed 3.8%
NIT #5 Seed 5.6%
NIT #6 Seed 10.0%
NIT #7 Seed 11.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgia State Panthers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Georgia St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 93 ETSU Home W 74-68
11/9 122 Montana Away L 74-81
11/13 176 Mercer Home W 62-60
11/19 206 St Bonaventure Neutal W 75-65
11/20 42 Creighton Neutral L 68-93
11/21 109 Georgia Neutal W 91-67
11/28 227 Tulane Away W 80-76
12/1 76 Liberty Away L 52-78
12/4 72 Alabama Away W 83-80
12/12 309 Chattanooga Home 94.4%
12/15 38 Kansas St Away 17.9%
12/19 201 UNC Wilmington Home 86.8%
12/29 No Rank Mid Georgia Home 98.7%
1/3 243 UT Arlington Away 73.4%
1/5 127 Texas St Away 48.5%
1/10 No Rank Louisiana Home 98.7%
1/12 261 ULM Home 91.1%
1/17 230 South Alabama Away 69.1%
1/19 212 Troy Away 66%
1/24 127 Texas St Home 66%
1/26 243 UT Arlington Home 87.8%
2/2 99 Ga Southern Home 58.8%
2/7 261 ULM Away 72.5%
2/8 No Rank Louisiana Away 92.9%
2/14 212 Troy Home 84%
2/16 230 South Alabama Home 85.2%
2/21 197 Appalachian St Away 62.5%
2/23 219 Coastal Car Away 64.5%
2/28 267 Arkansas St Home 88.3%
3/2 257 Ark Little Rock Home 86.4%
3/9 99 Ga Southern Away 41.8%