Georgia State Panthers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Georgia State Panthers. All of these projections for Georgia St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Georgia St Record and Rankings

Record: 13-4
Projected Final Record: 23.4-7.6

Sun Belt Conference Record: 4-0
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 14.4-3.6
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 1

Georgia St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 71
RPI Rank: 36
NET Rank: 103
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 3-1 3-1 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.750 0.750 1.000

Our current projections give the Georgia State Panthers a 32.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 57.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 9.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Georgia St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 21.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 5.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.6%
NIT #2 Seed 7.2%
NIT #3 Seed 9.0%
NIT #4 Seed 10.6%
NIT #5 Seed 9.4%
NIT #6 Seed 13.2%
NIT #7 Seed 5.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Georgia State Panthers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Georgia St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 55 ETSU Home W 74-68
11/9 142 Montana Away L 74-81
11/13 210 Mercer Home W 62-60
11/19 199 St Bonaventure Neutal W 75-65
11/20 54 Creighton Neutral L 68-93
11/21 84 Georgia Neutal W 91-67
11/28 305 Tulane Away W 80-76
12/1 69 Liberty Away L 52-78
12/4 50 Alabama Away W 83-80
12/12 261 Chattanooga Home W 95-88
12/15 32 Kansas St Away L 59-71
12/19 214 UNC Wilmington Home W 86-71
12/29 No Rank Mid Georgia Home W 117-69
1/3 233 UT Arlington Away W 63-58
1/5 96 Texas St Away W 73-69
1/10 155 Louisiana Home W 89-76
1/12 162 ULM Home W 74-73
1/17 265 South Alabama Away 79.7%
1/19 183 Troy Away 65.3%
1/24 96 Texas St Home 67.2%
1/26 233 UT Arlington Home 90.3%
2/2 131 Ga Southern Home 71.8%
2/7 162 ULM Away 59.5%
2/8 155 Louisiana Away 58.8%
2/14 183 Troy Home 83.8%
2/16 265 South Alabama Home 91.4%
2/21 291 Appalachian St Away 78.2%
2/23 229 Coastal Car Away 67.2%
2/28 211 Arkansas St Home 86.4%
3/2 248 Ark Little Rock Home 88.1%
3/9 131 Ga Southern Away 52.6%