Grambling State Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Grambling State Tigers. All of these projections for Grambling are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Grambling Record and Rankings

Record: 8-9
Projected Final Record: 15.4-15.6

Southwestern Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 9.4-8.6
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 6

Grambling Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 311
RPI Rank: 295
NET Rank: 312
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-1 0-1 5-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.556

Our current projections give the Grambling State Tigers a 5.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 95.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Grambling’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 5.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Grambling State Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Grambling Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 No Rank Jarvis Chr Home W 105-68
11/14 307 Wyoming Away L 78-86
11/16 111 Loyola-Chicago Away L 64-80
11/20 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 99-58
11/23 290 Niagara Away W 74-68
11/24 201 IUPUI Neutral L 69-80
12/1 21 LSU Away L 57-78
12/4 No Rank Centenary Home W 81-57
12/8 48 UCF Away L 45-70
12/11 162 ULM Away L 67-72
12/15 310 Portland Away W 70-58
12/19 320 SE Louisiana Home W 69-68
12/22 30 Wisconsin Away L 53-84
1/5 315 Alabama St Away L 53-74
1/7 342 Alabama A&M Away L 60-65
1/12 350 Southern Univ Home W 69-63
1/14 351 Alcorn St Home W 77-42
1/19 185 TX Southern Away 16.7%
1/21 271 Prairie View Away 31.7%
1/26 327 Jackson St Home 60.8%
2/2 282 Ark Pine Bluff Home 51.5%
2/4 346 MS Valley St Home 80.6%
2/9 350 Southern Univ Away 64.5%
2/11 351 Alcorn St Away 77.2%
2/16 185 TX Southern Home 33.6%
2/18 271 Prairie View Home 46%
2/23 327 Jackson St Away 46.3%
3/2 282 Ark Pine Bluff Away 37.9%
3/4 346 MS Valley St Away 61.8%
3/7 315 Alabama St Home 57.8%
3/9 342 Alabama A&M Home 75.3%