Grand Canyon Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Grand Canyon. All of these projections for Grand Canyon are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Grand Canyon Record and Rankings

Record: 12-7
Projected Final Record: 20.1-9.9

WAC Conference Record: 5-1
Projected Final WAC Record: 12.1-3.9
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 2

Grand Canyon Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 101
RPI Rank: 148
NET Rank: 103
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-1 2-2 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Grand Canyon a 29.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 5.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 64.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Grand Canyon’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 10.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 9.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 1.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Grand Canyon. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Grand Canyon Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 141 S Dakota St Away L 74-79
11/10 350 Delaware St Home W 89-47
11/12 287 Jacksonville Home W 76-59
11/16 228 Arkansas St Home W 96-72
11/22 48 Seton Hall Neutral L 75-82
11/23 119 Utah Neutral L 66-75
11/25 275 La Salle Neutal W 82-70
12/1 160 Boise St Home W 69-67
12/9 22 Nevada Neutral L 66-74
12/15 36 Texas Away L 60-98
12/19 188 Northern Iowa Away W 73-62
12/22 349 MS Valley St Home W 85-64
12/29 128 San Diego Away L 58-61
1/3 114 Utah Valley Home W 71-60
1/5 178 Seattle Home W 71-57
1/10 77 New Mexico St Away L 75-77
1/12 191 UTRGV Away W 69-65
1/17 342 Chicago St Home W 80-46
1/19 244 Missouri KC Home W 78-50
1/26 239 Cal Baptist Away 72.1%
2/2 152 CS Bakersfield Away 57.1%
2/7 191 UTRGV Home 85.9%
2/9 77 New Mexico St Home 55.9%
2/14 244 Missouri KC Away 71.2%
2/16 342 Chicago St Away 92.1%
2/21 239 Cal Baptist Home 90.3%
2/27 No Rank E New Mexico Home 98.7%
3/2 152 CS Bakersfield Home 81.1%
3/7 114 Utah Valley Away 42.7%
3/9 178 Seattle Away 58.2%