Grand Canyon Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Grand Canyon. All of these projections for Grand Canyon are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Grand Canyon Record and Rankings

Record: 20-13
Projected Final Record: 20.0-13.0

WAC Conference Record: 10-6
Projected Final WAC Record: 10.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 3

Grand Canyon Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 123
RPI Rank: 122
NET Rank: 90
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 2-3 4-3 13-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.400 0.571 0.929

Our current projections give the Grand Canyon a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Grand Canyon’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Grand Canyon. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Grand Canyon Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 133 S Dakota St Away L 74-79
11/10 353 Delaware St Home W 89-47
11/12 291 Jacksonville Home W 76-59
11/16 244 Arkansas St Home W 96-72
11/22 41 Seton Hall Neutral L 75-82
11/23 96 Utah Neutral L 66-75
11/25 221 La Salle Neutal W 82-70
12/1 182 Boise St Home W 69-67
12/9 28 Nevada Neutral L 66-74
12/15 40 Texas Away L 60-98
12/19 169 Northern Iowa Away W 73-62
12/22 350 MS Valley St Home W 85-64
12/29 102 San Diego Away L 58-61
1/3 88 Utah Valley Home W 71-60
1/5 188 Seattle Home W 71-57
1/10 48 New Mexico St Away L 75-77
1/12 162 UTRGV Away W 69-65
1/17 351 Chicago St Home W 80-46
1/19 246 Missouri KC Home W 78-50
1/26 204 Cal Baptist Away W 90-73
2/2 215 CS Bakersfield Away W 72-59
2/7 162 UTRGV Home L 69-72
2/9 48 New Mexico St Home L 64-67
2/14 246 Missouri KC Away L 75-87
2/16 351 Chicago St Away W 90-59
2/21 204 Cal Baptist Home W 91-58
2/27 No Rank E New Mexico Home W 95-64
3/2 215 CS Bakersfield Home W 73-69
3/7 88 Utah Valley Away L 70-82
3/9 188 Seattle Away L 76-83
3/14 188 Seattle Neutal W 84-75
3/15 88 Utah Valley Neutal W 78-74
3/16 48 New Mexico St Neutral L 57-89