Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. All of these projections for Hawaii are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Hawaii Record and Rankings

Record: 18-13
Projected Final Record: 18.0-13.0

Big West Conference Record: 9-7
Projected Final Big West Record: 9.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 4

Hawaii Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 186
RPI Rank: 226
NET Rank: 185
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 5-4 11-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.556 0.688

Our current projections give the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Hawaii’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Hawaii Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 329 Portland Home W 82-64
11/10 No Rank Humboldt St Home W 90-54
11/11 164 North Texas Home L 51-68
11/18 304 Northern Arizona Home W 85-68
11/22 96 Utah Neutal W 90-79
11/23 41 Seton Hall Neutral L 54-64
11/25 86 Fresno St Neutral L 64-79
11/28 116 UCLA Away L 61-80
12/8 No Rank Hawaii Hilo Home W 82-75
12/16 350 MS Valley St Home W 76-51
12/22 156 UNLV Home L 59-73
12/23 80 Colorado Home W 70-62
12/25 129 Rhode Island Neutal W 68-60
12/29 348 Alabama A&M Home W 71-63
1/9 190 CS Fullerton Home W 79-68
1/17 269 CS Northridge Away W 84-79
1/19 316 UC Riverside Away L 71-75
1/23 70 UC Irvine Home L 74-75
1/26 260 UC Davis Home W 80-60
1/31 210 Long Beach St Home W 74-57
2/2 176 UC Santa Barbara Home L 54-75
2/7 210 Long Beach St Away W 77-70
2/9 70 UC Irvine Away L 56-67
2/14 334 Cal Poly Home W 75-54
2/16 316 UC Riverside Home W 87-64
2/21 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 61-79
2/23 334 Cal Poly Away L 80-88
3/2 269 CS Northridge Home L 73-84
3/7 260 UC Davis Away W 76-69
3/9 190 CS Fullerton Away W 71-59
3/14 210 Long Beach St Neutral L 66-68