Holy Cross Crusaders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Holy Cross Crusaders. All of these projections for Holy Cross are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Holy Cross Record and Rankings

Record: 6-4
Projected Final Record: 21.5-9.5

Patriot League Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 13.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 1

Holy Cross Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 133
RPI Rank: 94
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 2-1 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 1.000

Our current projections give the Holy Cross Crusaders a 61.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 14.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 24.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Holy Cross’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 26.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 17.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 7.6%
NIT #8 Seed 5.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Holy Cross Crusaders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Holy Cross Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 266 Sacred Heart Home W 93-81
11/10 2 Michigan Away L 37-56
11/13 88 Providence Away L 61-70
11/16 145 Stony Brook Neutal W 84-70
11/18 260 Siena Neutal W 57-45
11/20 307 Albany NY Away W 69-65
11/28 123 Harvard Away L 62-73
12/1 295 F Dickinson Home W 67-49
12/4 146 Massachusetts Away W 82-78
12/8 121 Rhode Island Home L 63-79
12/20 278 Canisius Home 91.8%
12/22 260 Siena Home 89.2%
12/30 265 Iona Away 68.3%
1/3 303 Loyola MD Away 79.7%
1/6 296 Navy Away 79.4%
1/9 155 Lehigh Home 66.8%
1/12 324 Lafayette Home 92.6%
1/14 190 Bucknell Away 57.8%
1/19 303 Loyola MD Home 91.8%
1/23 268 Army Away 67.2%
1/26 296 Navy Home 91.4%
1/30 180 Boston Univ Away 56.5%
2/2 182 American Univ Away 56.7%
2/6 268 Army Home 85.4%
2/10 324 Lafayette Away 81.4%
2/13 161 Colgate Home 68%
2/16 190 Bucknell Home 77.2%
2/18 180 Boston Univ Home 75.3%
2/24 155 Lehigh Away 47.1%
2/27 161 Colgate Away 49.3%
3/2 182 American Univ Home 74.8%