Horizon Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Horizon League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Horizon are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Horizon Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Wright St 21 13 21 13 13 5 13 5
2 N Kentucky 26 8 26 8 13 5 13 5
3 Oakland 16 17 16 17 11 7 11 7
4 WI Green Bay 17 16 17 16 10 8 10 8
5 IL Chicago 16 16 16 16 10 8 10 8
6 Youngstown St 12 20 12 20 8 10 8 10
7 Detroit 11 20 11 20 8 10 8 10
8 IUPUI 16 16 16 16 8 10 8 10
9 Cleveland St 10 21 10 21 5 13 5 13
10 WI Milwaukee 9 22 9 22 4 14 4 14

Projected Horizon Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Horizon League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
N Kentucky 14 1.434

Projected Horizon Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Horizon League Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Wright St 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
N Kentucky 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Oakland 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
WI Green Bay 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
IL Chicago 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Youngstown St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Detroit 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
IUPUI 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Cleveland St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI Milwaukee 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Horizon Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Horizon League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Horizon League Men’s Conference Championship changed it’s format in 2019. The tournament is now played as an eight team tournament instead of ten. The First Round is played on the site of the higher seed and then the Semis and Finals are played at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Wright St
Tournament Site: Campus Sites and Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)
Quarterfinals: March 5th and 6th, 2019
Semifinals: March 11th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Wright St
100%
100%
0%
2
N Kentucky
100%
100%
100%
3
Oakland
100%
0%
0%
4
WI Green Bay
100%
0%
0%
5
IL Chicago
0%
0%
0%
6
Youngstown St
0%
0%
0%
7
Detroit
0%
0%
0%
8
IUPUI
0%
0%
0%
9
Cleveland St
0%
0%
0%
10
WI Milwaukee
0%
0%
0%

Horizon Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC