Houston Cougars Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Houston Cougars. All of these projections for Houston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Houston Record and Rankings

Record: 31-2
Projected Final Record: 31.0-2.0

AAC Conference Record: 16-2
Projected Final AAC Record: 16.0-2.0
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 1

Houston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 9
RPI Rank: 5
NET Rank: 4
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 3 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 7-2 7-0 9-0 8-0
Win % by Tier 0.778 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Houston Cougars a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Houston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 65.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 6.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 11.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 6.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Houston Cougars. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Houston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 348 Alabama A&M Home W 101-54
11/14 237 Rice Home W 79-68
11/19 332 Northwestern LA Home W 82-55
11/24 90 BYU Away W 76-62
11/28 162 UTRGV Home W 58-53
12/1 57 Oregon Home W 65-61
12/4 212 Lamar Home W 79-56
12/8 76 Oklahoma St Away W 63-53
12/12 13 LSU Home W 82-76
12/16 98 St Louis Home W 68-64
12/20 30 Utah St Home W 60-50
12/23 340 Coppin St Home W 75-44
12/29 174 NJIT Home W 80-59
1/2 107 Tulsa Home W 74-56
1/6 58 Memphis Home W 90-77
1/9 56 Temple Away L 69-73
1/12 74 Wichita St Home W 79-70
1/16 110 SMU Away W 69-58
1/19 122 South Florida Away W 69-60
1/23 253 East Carolina Home W 94-50
1/27 107 Tulsa Away W 77-65
1/31 56 Temple Home W 73-66
2/7 35 UCF Away W 77-68
2/10 24 Cincinnati Home W 65-58
2/14 106 Connecticut Away W 71-63
2/17 313 Tulane Away W 85-50
2/23 122 South Florida Home W 71-59
2/27 253 East Carolina Away W 99-65
3/2 35 UCF Home L 64-69
3/7 110 SMU Home W 90-79
3/10 24 Cincinnati Away W 85-69
3/15 106 Connecticut Neutal W 84-45
3/16 58 Memphis Neutal W 61-58