Howard Bison Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Howard Bison. All of these projections for Howard are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Howard Record and Rankings

Record: 8-10
Projected Final Record: 14.5-16.5

MEAC Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final MEAC Record: 8.3-7.7
Projected Final Rank in the MEAC: 5

Howard Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 322
RPI Rank: 343
NET Rank: 323
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 1-2 4-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.364

Our current projections give the Howard Bison a 6.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 94.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Howard’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 6.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Howard Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Howard Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Washington Advt Home W 115-91
11/11 No Rank Central Penn Home W 99-71
11/13 No Rank Regent Home W 108-51
11/16 197 Massachusetts Away W 68-63
11/19 148 S Illinois Away L 69-83
11/23 266 Ark Little Rock Away L 76-97
11/24 239 Cal Baptist Neutal W 86-84
12/4 303 Appalachian St Away L 86-100
12/8 236 American Univ Home W 85-83
12/14 249 G Washington Away L 64-70
12/16 235 Fordham Away L 67-74
12/20 93 Ball St Away L 71-98
12/22 299 Hampton Neutral L 82-89
12/29 86 Georgetown Away L 67-102
1/5 334 Florida A&M Home L 72-82
1/7 351 MD E Shore Away W 79-39
1/12 312 Bethune-Cookman Home L 63-71
1/19 340 S Carolina St Away W 71-67
1/21 145 Harvard Home 18.6%
1/26 350 Delaware St Home 86.8%
1/28 351 MD E Shore Home 86.6%
2/2 259 Norfolk St Home 42.9%
2/4 325 Morgan St Home 60.1%
2/9 334 Florida A&M Away 42.7%
2/11 312 Bethune-Cookman Away 33.6%
2/16 256 NC A&T Home 43.7%
2/18 329 NC Central Home 62.5%
2/23 344 Coppin St Away 55.9%
2/25 325 Morgan St Away 38.2%
3/2 341 Savannah St Away 54.4%
3/7 259 Norfolk St Away 19.4%