Idaho State Bengals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Idaho State Bengals. All of these projections for Idaho St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Idaho St Record and Rankings

Record: 11-19
Projected Final Record: 11.0-19.0

Big Sky Conference Record: 7-13
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 7.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 10

Idaho St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 318
RPI Rank: 274
NET Rank: 307
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 2-8 7-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.200 0.467

Our current projections give the Idaho State Bengals a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Idaho St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Idaho State Bengals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Idaho St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 7 Gonzaga Away L 79-120
11/10 182 Boise St Away W 72-70
11/15 199 Pacific Home L 76-83
11/19 No Rank Bethesda Home W 115-60
11/26 167 Pepperdine Away L 82-97
11/29 No Rank MT Western Home W 74-66
12/7 172 Santa Clara Away W 68-66
12/19 88 Utah Valley Away L 77-88
12/22 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 65-84
12/29 345 Idaho Away W 72-55
12/31 233 E Washington Away L 55-65
1/3 266 Southern Utah Home W 88-68
1/5 304 Northern Arizona Home L 69-81
1/12 278 CS Sacramento Away W 72-70
1/17 217 Weber St Away L 59-76
1/21 194 N Colorado Home L 53-77
1/24 136 Montana Away L 69-80
1/26 250 Montana St Away L 84-104
1/31 278 CS Sacramento Home L 58-74
2/2 264 Portland St Home W 69-67
2/7 304 Northern Arizona Away W 81-79
2/9 266 Southern Utah Away L 72-78
2/14 250 Montana St Home L 76-84
2/16 136 Montana Home L 68-80
2/21 264 Portland St Away L 93-99
3/2 194 N Colorado Away L 62-71
3/4 217 Weber St Home W 78-74
3/7 233 E Washington Home L 62-91
3/9 345 Idaho Home W 70-68
3/13 266 Southern Utah Neutral L 80-94