Idaho State Bengals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Idaho State Bengals. All of these projections for Idaho St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Idaho St Record and Rankings

Record: 7-7
Projected Final Record: 14.3-14.7

Big Sky Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 10.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 5

Idaho St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 244
RPI Rank: 201
NET Rank: 244
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 2-3 3-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.400 0.600

Our current projections give the Idaho State Bengals a 5.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 94.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Idaho St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 4.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Idaho State Bengals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Idaho St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 6 Gonzaga Away L 79-120
11/10 154 Boise St Away W 72-70
11/15 169 Pacific Home L 76-83
11/19 No Rank Bethesda Home W 115-60
11/26 182 Pepperdine Away L 82-97
11/29 No Rank MT Western Home W 74-66
12/7 192 Santa Clara Away W 68-66
12/19 103 Utah Valley Away L 77-88
12/22 139 UC Santa Barbara Away L 65-84
12/29 335 Idaho Away W 72-55
12/31 297 E Washington Away L 55-65
1/3 241 Southern Utah Home W 88-68
1/5 287 Northern Arizona Home L 69-81
1/12 303 CS Sacramento Away W 72-70
1/17 177 Weber St Away 18.2%
1/21 200 N Colorado Home 50%
1/24 142 Montana Away 13.4%
1/26 250 Montana St Away 39.5%
1/31 303 CS Sacramento Home 75.7%
2/2 289 Portland St Home 71%
2/7 287 Northern Arizona Away 46.3%
2/9 241 Southern Utah Away 38.5%
2/14 250 Montana St Home 62.1%
2/16 142 Montana Home 38.9%
2/21 289 Portland St Away 45.2%
3/2 200 N Colorado Away 26.2%
3/4 177 Weber St Home 45.2%
3/7 297 E Washington Home 71.4%
3/9 335 Idaho Home 83.8%