Idaho Vandals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Idaho Vandals. All of these projections for Idaho are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Idaho Record and Rankings

Record: 5-27
Projected Final Record: 5.0-27.0

Big Sky Conference Record: 2-18
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 2.0-18.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 11

Idaho Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 345
RPI Rank: 344
NET Rank: 338
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 0-9 3-15
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.167

Our current projections give the Idaho Vandals a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Idaho’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Idaho Vandals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Idaho Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 70 UC Irvine Away L 68-86
11/13 309 Nicholls St Home L 80-83
11/18 No Rank Bethesda Home W 87-59
11/23 No Rank NW Nazarene Neutral L 73-77
11/24 176 UC Santa Barbara Neutral L 55-66
11/27 No Rank W Coast Bap Home W 98-44
12/1 296 North Dakota Away W 67-54
12/5 200 Washington St Away L 70-90
12/8 215 CS Bakersfield Home L 67-73
12/15 168 NE Omaha Home L 80-89
12/21 172 Santa Clara Away L 56-77
12/29 318 Idaho St Home L 55-72
12/31 217 Weber St Home L 87-93
1/3 233 E Washington Home W 74-71
1/5 194 N Colorado Away L 79-83
1/10 250 Montana St Home L 67-77
1/19 136 Montana Home L 51-69
1/24 278 CS Sacramento Away L 48-69
1/26 264 Portland St Away L 53-69
2/2 304 Northern Arizona Home L 73-86
2/4 266 Southern Utah Home L 64-75
2/7 136 Montana Away L 59-100
2/9 250 Montana St Away L 72-86
2/14 194 N Colorado Home L 47-75
2/18 233 E Washington Away L 57-82
2/21 304 Northern Arizona Away L 54-75
2/23 266 Southern Utah Away L 76-85
2/28 264 Portland St Home L 65-67
3/2 278 CS Sacramento Home W 94-90
3/7 217 Weber St Away L 59-93
3/9 318 Idaho St Away L 68-70
3/13 250 Montana St Neutral L 71-75