Incarnate Word Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Incarnate Word. All of these projections for Incarnate Word are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Incarnate Word Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 9.7-21.3

Southland Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final Southland Record: 4.7-13.3
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 13

Incarnate Word Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 337
RPI Rank: 331
NET Rank: 340
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-0 0-4 2-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.286

Our current projections give the Incarnate Word a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Incarnate Word’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Incarnate Word. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Incarnate Word Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 8 Texas Tech Away L 37-87
11/9 No Rank St Francis IL Home W 63-49
11/10 No Rank UT Tyler Home W 66-54
11/12 No Rank TX Lutheran Home W 70-59
11/16 142 Montana Neutral L 66-93
11/17 249 N Dakota St Neutal W 80-78
11/18 189 FL Atlantic Neutral L 68-71
11/21 200 N Colorado Home L 64-90
11/25 325 SIUE Away L 68-80
12/4 No Rank Trinity TX Home W 82-57
12/9 21 LSU Away L 50-91
12/17 198 IL Chicago Away L 57-63
12/19 100 DePaul Away L 71-81
1/2 298 McNeese St Home L 77-88
1/5 284 Nicholls St Home W 65-58
1/12 184 Sam Houston St Away L 52-66
1/16 245 Cent Arkansas Home L 60-77
1/19 257 SF Austin Home 37.6%
1/23 277 Lamar Away 18.4%
1/26 208 New Orleans Home 31.7%
1/30 242 Houston Bap Home 35.9%
2/2 208 New Orleans Away 13.7%
2/9 280 TAM C. Christi Away 19.1%
2/13 320 SE Louisiana Away 30.1%
2/16 140 Abilene Chr Home 19.1%
2/20 277 Lamar Home 41.2%
2/23 257 SF Austin Away 18.2%
2/27 330 Northwestern LA Away 38.5%
3/2 280 TAM C. Christi Home 41.2%
3/6 242 Houston Bap Away 16.7%
3/9 140 Abilene Chr Away 8%