Incarnate Word Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Incarnate Word. All of these projections for Incarnate Word are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Incarnate Word Record and Rankings

Record: 6-25
Projected Final Record: 6.0-25.0

Southland Conference Record: 1-17
Projected Final Southland Record: 1.0-17.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 13

Incarnate Word Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 347
RPI Rank: 345
NET Rank: 347
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 1-9 1-12
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.100 0.077

Our current projections give the Incarnate Word a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Incarnate Word’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Incarnate Word. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Incarnate Word Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 11 Texas Tech Away L 37-87
11/9 No Rank St Francis IL Home W 63-49
11/10 No Rank UT Tyler Home W 66-54
11/12 No Rank TX Lutheran Home W 70-59
11/16 136 Montana Neutral L 66-93
11/17 205 N Dakota St Neutal W 80-78
11/18 177 FL Atlantic Neutral L 68-71
11/21 194 N Colorado Home L 64-90
11/25 323 SIUE Away L 68-80
12/4 No Rank Trinity TX Home W 82-57
12/9 13 LSU Away L 50-91
12/17 201 IL Chicago Away L 57-63
12/19 92 DePaul Away L 71-81
1/2 331 McNeese St Home L 77-88
1/5 309 Nicholls St Home W 65-58
1/12 158 Sam Houston St Away L 52-66
1/16 287 Cent Arkansas Home L 60-77
1/19 298 SF Austin Home L 71-74
1/23 212 Lamar Away L 81-87
1/26 220 New Orleans Home L 52-61
1/30 286 Houston Bap Home L 92-96
2/2 220 New Orleans Away L 72-89
2/9 280 TAM C. Christi Away L 61-70
2/13 223 SE Louisiana Away L 64-70
2/16 140 Abilene Chr Home L 48-68
2/20 212 Lamar Home L 58-76
2/23 298 SF Austin Away L 54-81
2/27 332 Northwestern LA Away L 60-68
3/2 280 TAM C. Christi Home L 72-74
3/6 286 Houston Bap Away L 111-118
3/9 140 Abilene Chr Away L 52-81