Indiana Hoosiers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Indiana Hoosiers. All of these projections for Indiana are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Indiana Record and Rankings

Record: 16-15
Projected Final Record: 16.0-15.0

Big Ten Conference Record: 9-10
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 9.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 6

Indiana Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 81
RPI Rank: 124
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-10 2-1 7-1 7-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.667 0.875 0.700

Our current projections give the Indiana Hoosiers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 2.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 97.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Indiana’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Indiana Hoosiers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Indiana Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 162 Indiana St Home L 69-90
11/12 335 Howard Home W 86-77
11/15 31 Seton Hall Away L 68-84
11/19 246 South Florida Home W 70-53
11/22 283 Arkansas St Home W 87-70
11/24 142 E Michigan Home W 87-67
11/29 3 Duke Home L 81-91
12/2 9 Michigan Away L 55-69
12/4 100 Iowa Home W 77-64
12/9 33 Louisville Away L 62-71
12/16 52 Notre Dame Indianapolis, IN W 80-77
12/18 176 IPFW Home L 72-92
12/21 197 Tennessee Tech Home W 87-59
12/29 326 Youngstown St Home W 79-51
1/2 75 Wisconsin Away L 61-71
1/6 111 Minnesota Away W 75-71
1/9 50 Penn St Home W 74-70
1/14 94 Northwestern Home W 66-46
1/19 4 Michigan St Away L 57-85
1/22 57 Maryland Home W 71-68
1/24 112 Illinois Away L 71-73
1/28 6 Purdue Home L 67-74
1/30 19 Ohio St Away L 56-71
2/3 4 Michigan St Home L 60-63
2/5 134 Rutgers Away W 65-43
2/9 111 Minnesota Home W 80-56
2/14 112 Illinois Home W 78-68
2/17 100 Iowa Away W 84-82
2/20 45 Nebraska Away L 57-66
2/23 19 Ohio St Home L 78-80
3/1 134 Rutgers New York, NY L 69-76