Iona Gaels Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Iona Gaels. All of these projections for Iona are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Iona Record and Rankings

Record: 20-14
Projected Final Record: 20.0-14.0

MAAC Conference Record: 14-7
Projected Final MAAC Record: 14.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 4

Iona Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 153
RPI Rank: 108
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-2 5-4 14-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.556 0.778

Our current projections give the Iona Gaels a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Iona’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 82.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 17.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Iona Gaels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Iona Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 172 Albany NY Away L 67-69
11/14 54 Syracuse Away L 62-71
11/17 157 Weber St Nassau, Bahamas W 80-72
11/18 135 N Kentucky Nassau, Bahamas L 72-85
11/19 229 Coastal Car Nassau, Bahamas L 84-89
11/28 195 Ohio Away W 93-88
12/2 274 F Dickinson Home W 82-75
12/9 267 NJIT Away W 74-70
12/12 199 Yale Home W 83-67
12/17 70 St John’s Away L 59-69
12/19 277 Holy Cross Away W 82-68
12/21 44 Rhode Island Away L 74-80
12/29 189 Niagara Away W 98-93
12/31 139 Canisius Away L 78-85
1/5 233 St Peter’s Home W 73-69
1/7 205 Fairfield Home W 84-65
1/11 312 Siena Home W 71-69
1/14 127 Rider Home W 91-64
1/19 214 Monmouth NJ Away W 76-73
1/21 139 Canisius Home L 82-84
1/27 226 Manhattan Uniondale, NY W 78-65
1/29 205 Fairfield Away L 100-103
2/2 280 Quinnipiac Home W 87-82
2/4 323 Marist Away W 98-64
2/8 214 Monmouth NJ Home L 50-72
2/10 233 St Peter’s Away W 86-77
2/12 312 Siena Away L 78-82
2/16 189 Niagara Home L 84-85
2/23 226 Manhattan Home W 88-75
2/25 127 Rider Away L 101-110
3/3 226 Manhattan Albany, NY W 72-60
3/4 233 St Peter’s Albany, NY W 65-62
3/5 205 Fairfield Albany, NY W 83-71
3/15 3 Duke NCAA Tournament Pittsburgh PA L 67-89