Iona Gaels Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Iona Gaels. All of these projections for Iona are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Iona Record and Rankings

Record: 17-15
Projected Final Record: 17.0-15.0

MAAC Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final MAAC Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 1

Iona Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 195
RPI Rank: 195
NET Rank: 202
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 6-4 11-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.600 0.579

Our current projections give the Iona Gaels a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Iona’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 98.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Iona Gaels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Iona Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 281 Albany NY Home W 72-68
11/13 191 New Mexico Away L 83-90
11/19 210 Long Beach St Neutral L 85-86
11/21 197 Hartford Neutal W 80-75
11/24 66 Providence Away L 79-91
11/27 171 Ohio Away L 65-89
12/1 47 VA Commonwealth Away L 59-88
12/9 203 Columbia Neutral L 71-74
12/15 152 Princeton Neutral L 81-85
12/22 83 Yale Away L 84-99
12/30 232 Holy Cross Home L 71-78
1/3 261 Monmouth NJ Home W 103-84
1/5 308 Fairfield Home W 94-87
1/11 303 Niagara Away L 90-95
1/13 259 Canisius Away W 88-70
1/18 293 Marist Home W 90-77
1/20 261 Monmouth NJ Away L 81-83
1/25 225 Rider Home W 77-71
1/27 308 Fairfield Away L 68-80
1/31 293 Marist Away L 74-78
2/2 234 Siena Home L 54-56
2/8 240 Quinnipiac Home L 65-66
2/10 303 Niagara Home W 79-76
2/13 234 Siena Away W 57-52
2/15 311 St Peter’s Home W 62-46
2/19 240 Quinnipiac Away W 81-77
2/22 307 Manhattan Away W 66-52
2/24 259 Canisius Home W 87-80
3/1 225 Rider Away W 86-79
3/8 311 St Peter’s Neutal W 73-71
3/10 234 Siena Neutal W 73-57
3/11 261 Monmouth NJ Neutal W 81-60