Iowa State Cyclones Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Iowa State Cyclones. All of these projections for Iowa St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Iowa St Record and Rankings

Record: 23-11
Projected Final Record: 23.0-11.0

Big 12 Conference Record: 9-9
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 5

Iowa St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 23
RPI Rank: 32
NET Rank: 22
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 7-7 6-3 5-1 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.667 0.833 1.000

Our current projections give the Iowa State Cyclones a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Iowa St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #3 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 17.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 36.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 33.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Iowa State Cyclones. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Iowa St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 330 Alabama St Home W 79-53
11/9 73 Missouri Home W 76-59
11/12 211 TX Southern Home W 85-73
11/19 108 Arizona Neutral L 66-71
11/20 89 Illinois Neutal W 84-68
11/21 100 San Diego St Neutal W 87-57
11/26 168 NE Omaha Home W 82-55
12/3 205 N Dakota St Home W 81-59
12/6 34 Iowa Away L 84-98
12/9 338 Southern Univ Home W 101-65
12/15 111 Drake Neutal W 77-68
12/21 294 E Illinois Home W 101-53
1/2 76 Oklahoma St Away W 69-63
1/5 15 Kansas Home W 77-60
1/8 44 Baylor Away L 70-73
1/12 20 Kansas St Home L 57-58
1/16 11 Texas Tech Away W 68-64
1/19 76 Oklahoma St Home W 72-59
1/21 15 Kansas Away L 76-80
1/26 38 Mississippi Away W 87-73
1/30 77 West Virginia Home W 93-68
2/2 40 Texas Home W 65-60
2/4 37 Oklahoma Away W 75-74
2/9 43 TCU Home L 83-92
2/16 20 Kansas St Away W 78-64
2/19 44 Baylor Home L 69-73
2/23 43 TCU Away L 72-75
2/25 37 Oklahoma Home W 78-61
3/2 40 Texas Away L 69-86
3/6 77 West Virginia Away L 75-90
3/9 11 Texas Tech Home L 73-80
3/14 44 Baylor Neutal W 83-66
3/15 20 Kansas St Neutal W 63-59
3/16 15 Kansas Away W 78-66