IUPUI Jaguars Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the IUPUI Jaguars. All of these projections for IUPUI are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

IUPUI Record and Rankings

Record: 16-16
Projected Final Record: 16.0-16.0

Horizon Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final Horizon Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 8

IUPUI Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 216
RPI Rank: 247
NET Rank: 205
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 5-6 9-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.455 0.529

Our current projections give the IUPUI Jaguars a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account IUPUI’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the IUPUI Jaguars. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

IUPUI Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 60 Xavier Away L 69-82
11/10 294 E Illinois Home W 71-65
11/14 119 Boston College Away W 76-69
11/16 208 Richmond Away L 70-78
11/23 272 St Francis NY Neutal W 68-48
11/24 297 Grambling Neutal W 80-69
11/28 153 Bradley Home W 85-73
12/1 149 Ball St Home L 75-85
12/6 No Rank IU Kokomo Home W 95-64
12/12 No Rank Indiana NW Home W 116-79
12/15 310 W Illinois Home W 82-68
12/18 218 PFW Away L 77-87
12/21 255 Morehead St Away L 70-74
12/28 113 N Kentucky Away L 77-92
12/30 138 Wright St Away L 64-72
1/4 201 IL Chicago Away W 66-64
1/10 285 Cleveland St Home W 90-74
1/12 271 Youngstown St Home L 76-82
1/17 198 WI Green Bay Away W 76-70
1/19 306 WI Milwaukee Away L 57-64
1/24 192 Oakland Home W 73-71
1/26 248 Detroit Home W 80-65
2/1 113 N Kentucky Home W 83-77
2/3 138 Wright St Home L 74-79
2/9 201 IL Chicago Home L 75-76
2/14 271 Youngstown St Away L 73-75
2/16 285 Cleveland St Away L 86-89
2/22 306 WI Milwaukee Home W 67-60
2/24 198 WI Green Bay Home W 79-68
2/28 248 Detroit Away L 85-87
3/2 192 Oakland Away L 63-74
3/5 138 Wright St Away L 56-71