Ivy League Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Ivy League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Ivy League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.

Ivy League Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Penn 19 7 21.7 8.3 9 1 11.7 2.3
2 Harvard 14 11 16.5 12.5 9 1 11.5 2.5
3 Yale 12 14 14 16 5 5 7 7
4 Columbia 7 16 9 18 4 6 6 8
5 Cornell 10 13 11.6 15.4 4 6 5.6 8.4
6 Brown 11 12 12.6 14.4 4 6 5.6 8.4
7 Princeton 11 14 13.2 15.8 3 7 5.2 8.8
8 Dartmouth 6 17 7.4 19.6 2 8 3.4 10.6

Projected Ivy League Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Ivy League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Penn 15 0.892

Ivy League Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Ivy League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Ivy League team. The Ivy League Conference Championship is a four game tournament that takes place at the University of Pennsylvania. The top four teams at the end of the regular season advance to the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: The Palestra (Philadelphia, PA)
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Penn
100%
74.8%
43.3%
2
Harvard
100%
60.2%
30.3%
3
Yale
100%
39.8%
15.4%
4
Columbia
100%
25.2%
11%

Ivy League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/23 Brown 28.6% Columbia 71.4% Columbia wins by 7
2/23 Yale 52.9% Cornell 47.1% Yale wins by 1
2/23 Dartmouth 13.2% Penn 86.8% Penn wins by 12
2/23 Harvard 48.5% Princeton 51.5% Princeton wins by 1
2/24 Yale 41.8% Columbia 58.2% Columbia wins by 3
2/24 Brown 40.9% Cornell 59.2% Cornell wins by 3
2/24 Harvard 36.2% Penn 63.8% Penn wins by 5
2/24 Dartmouth 18.9% Princeton 81.1% Princeton wins by 9
3/2 Princeton 52.2% Brown 47.8% Princeton wins by 1
3/2 Columbia 52.2% Dartmouth 47.8% Columbia wins by 1
3/2 Cornell 15% Harvard 85% Harvard wins by 11
3/2 Penn 54% Yale 46% Penn wins by 2
3/3 Penn 61.1% Brown 38.9% Penn wins by 4
3/3 Cornell 41.2% Dartmouth 58.8% Dartmouth wins by 3
3/3 Columbia 20.6% Harvard 79.4% Harvard wins by 9
3/3 Princeton 39.9% Yale 60.1% Yale wins by 4

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC