Ivy League Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Ivy League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Ivy League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.

Ivy League Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Penn 8 2 20.6 9.4 0 0 9.7 4.3
2 Yale 4 2 19.3 6.7 0 0 9.7 4.3
3 Harvard 4 5 16.7 11.3 0 0 9.4 4.6
4 Brown 7 4 17.2 12.8 0 0 7.2 6.8
5 Cornell 4 4 14.2 15.8 0 0 6.1 7.9
6 Dartmouth 5 5 13.6 16.4 0 0 5.2 8.8
7 Princeton 4 4 10.7 16.3 0 0 4.7 9.3
8 Columbia 3 6 8.7 19.3 0 0 4 10

Projected Ivy League Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Ivy League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Yale 14 2.906

Projected Ivy League Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Ivy League Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Penn 28% 39% 21% 10% 100%
Yale 36% 31% 21% 10% 100%
Harvard 30% 22% 25% 13% 100%
Brown 2% 5% 16% 26% 100%
Cornell 3% 2% 12% 18% 100%
Dartmouth 1% 1% 4% 11% 100%
Princeton 0% 0% 1% 6% 100%
Columbia 0% 0% 0% 6% 100%

Ivy League Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Ivy League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Ivy League Conference Championship is a four game tournament that takes place at the University of Pennsylvania. The top four teams at the end of the regular season advance to the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Payne Whitney Gymnasium (New Haven, CT)
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
Finals: March 17th, 2019

Coming Soon!

Ivy League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
1/5 Penn 74.3% Princeton 25.7% Penn wins by 7
1/12 Princeton 8.2% Penn 91.8% Penn wins by 14
1/12 Harvard 66.4% Dartmouth 33.6% Harvard wins by 6
1/19 Columbia 20.1% Cornell 79.9% Cornell wins by 9
1/19 Yale 58.5% Brown 41.5% Yale wins by 3
1/25 Brown 17.4% Yale 82.6% Yale wins by 10
1/26 Cornell 55.7% Columbia 44.3% Cornell wins by 2
1/26 Dartmouth 12.7% Harvard 87.3% Harvard wins by 12
2/1 Princeton 43.5% Columbia 56.5% Columbia wins by 2
2/1 Penn 62.8% Cornell 37.2% Penn wins by 5
2/1 Brown 55.5% Dartmouth 44.5% Brown wins by 2
2/1 Yale 42.5% Harvard 57.5% Harvard wins by 3
2/2 Brown 19.6% Harvard 80.4% Harvard wins by 9
2/2 Penn 75.7% Columbia 24.3% Penn wins by 8
2/2 Princeton 27.7% Cornell 72.3% Cornell wins by 7
2/2 Yale 67.2% Dartmouth 32.8% Yale wins by 6
2/8 Penn 57.1% Brown 42.9% Penn wins by 3
2/8 Columbia 8.2% Harvard 91.8% Harvard wins by 14

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC