Ivy League Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Ivy League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Ivy League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Ivy League Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Harvard 18 12 18.5 12.5 13 2 13.5 2.5
2 Penn 23 8 23.5 8.5 13 2 13.5 2.5
3 Yale 16 15 16 15 9 6 9 6
4 Cornell 12 16 12 16 6 9 6 9
5 Princeton 13 16 13 16 5 9 5 9
6 Columbia 8 19 8 19 5 9 5 9
7 Brown 11 16 11 16 4 10 4 10
8 Dartmouth 7 20 7 20 3 11 3 11

Projected Ivy League Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Ivy League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Penn 14 1.198

Ivy League Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Ivy League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Ivy League team. The Ivy League Conference Championship is a four game tournament that takes place at the University of Pennsylvania. The top four teams at the end of the regular season advance to the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Harvard
Tournament Site: The Palestra (Philadelphia, PA)
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Harvard
100%
100%
48.9%
2
Penn
100%
100%
51.1%
3
Yale
100%
0%
0%
4
Cornell
100%
0%
0%

Ivy League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
3/11 Penn 52.8% Harvard 47.2% Penn wins by 1

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC