Jacksonville Dolphins Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Jacksonville Dolphins. All of these projections for Jacksonville are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Jacksonville Record and Rankings

Record: 8-12
Projected Final Record: 12.8-18.2

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 5.8-10.2
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 7

Jacksonville Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 287
RPI Rank: 293
NET Rank: 294
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 1-2 5-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.455

Our current projections give the Jacksonville Dolphins a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Jacksonville’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Jacksonville Dolphins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Jacksonville Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 334 Florida A&M Home L 50-65
11/10 296 Northern Arizona Away L 82-97
11/12 101 Grand Canyon Away L 59-76
11/16 319 SE Missouri St Neutral L 71-77
11/17 276 South Alabama Away W 71-48
11/18 241 Chattanooga Neutal W 74-66
11/21 No Rank FL Memorial Home W 123-77
11/24 281 W Carolina Away L 65-77
12/1 340 S Carolina St Home W 71-69
12/4 213 Presbyterian Away W 94-88
12/8 No Rank Mid Georgia Home W 100-57
12/15 312 Bethune-Cookman Away W 79-71
12/20 82 Notre Dame Away L 74-100
12/22 34 Indiana Away L 64-94
12/30 213 Presbyterian Home L 67-72
1/5 50 Lipscomb Home L 74-77
1/9 348 Kennesaw Away W 90-70
1/12 75 Liberty Away L 53-69
1/16 290 North Alabama Home L 88-91
1/19 153 NJIT Away L 74-77
1/24 172 North Florida Away 14.8%
1/27 75 Liberty Home 16%
1/30 345 Stetson Home 85%
2/2 273 FL Gulf Coast Away 37.9%
2/6 348 Kennesaw Home 86.6%
2/9 50 Lipscomb Away 2.3%
2/13 345 Stetson Away 64.1%
2/20 172 North Florida Home 36.6%
2/23 153 NJIT Home 35.9%
2/26 290 North Alabama Away 44.1%
3/1 273 FL Gulf Coast Home 56.9%