Jacksonville State Gamecocks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. All of these projections for Jacksonville St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Jacksonville St Record and Rankings

Record: 12-5
Projected Final Record: 22.3-8.7

OVC Conference Record: 4-0
Projected Final OVC Record: 14.3-3.7
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 2

Jacksonville St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 117
RPI Rank: 156
NET Rank: 131
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 0-2 3-1 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.000 0.750 0.857

Our current projections give the Jacksonville State Gamecocks a 29.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 70.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Jacksonville St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 13.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 11.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Jacksonville St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 158 Samford Away L 72-92
11/12 86 Penn St Away L 61-76
11/14 219 Bradley Away L 65-74
11/20 262 W Carolina Neutal W 84-53
11/21 179 North Florida Neutal W 83-78
11/28 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 101-61
12/1 294 North Alabama Away W 76-65
12/8 349 Delaware St Away W 81-54
12/12 97 Wichita St Away L 65-69
12/15 171 Evansville Away W 55-50
12/18 294 North Alabama Home W 64-50
12/22 93 West Virginia Away L 72-74
12/29 No Rank Reinhardt Home W 109-77
1/3 68 Belmont Away W 83-73
1/5 332 Tennessee St Away W 69-62
1/10 230 E Illinois Home W 69-62
1/12 325 SIUE Home W 90-54
1/17 68 Belmont Home 48.2%
1/19 324 Tennessee Tech Home 93.4%
1/24 240 E Kentucky Away 65.3%
1/26 259 Morehead St Away 67.2%
1/31 51 Murray St Home 42.5%
2/2 127 Austin Peay Home 62.1%
2/7 322 TN Martin Away 80.6%
2/9 317 SE Missouri St Away 79.7%
2/14 324 Tennessee Tech Away 80.9%
2/16 332 Tennessee St Home 93%
2/21 259 Morehead St Home 86.8%
2/23 240 E Kentucky Home 86.1%
2/28 230 E Illinois Away 63.4%
3/2 325 SIUE Away 79.7%