James Madison Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the James Madison. All of these projections for James Madison are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

James Madison Record and Rankings

Record: 9-11
Projected Final Record: 13.1-17.9

Colonial Conference Record: 2-5
Projected Final Colonial Record: 6.1-11.9
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 8

James Madison Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 246
RPI Rank: 269
NET Rank: 230
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-1 3-5 3-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.375 0.375

Our current projections give the James Madison a 1.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account James Madison’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the James Madison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

James Madison Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank E Mennonite Home W 86-58
11/9 212 East Carolina Away W 73-72
11/12 No Rank Bridgewater VA Home W 82-59
11/16 238 Charlotte Away W 64-59
11/20 211 Citadel Home L 82-91
11/23 202 Oakland Away L 69-77
11/24 144 N Illinois Neutal W 78-74
11/25 271 Oral Roberts Neutral L 69-78
11/29 344 Coppin St Home W 81-71
12/1 92 Old Dominion Away L 42-67
12/4 108 Radford Home W 73-66
12/7 137 George Mason Away L 53-66
12/20 235 Fordham Away L 48-75
12/28 226 William & Mary Away L 74-79
12/30 315 Elon Away L 65-68
1/3 220 UNC Wilmington Home L 83-86
1/5 120 Col Charleston Home W 69-58
1/12 298 Towson Home W 74-65
1/17 203 Delaware Away L 69-76
1/19 223 Drexel Away L 68-73
1/24 58 Hofstra Home 18.4%
1/26 105 Northeastern Home 26.6%
1/31 120 Col Charleston Away 11.4%
2/2 220 UNC Wilmington Away 36.9%
2/9 298 Towson Away 50.4%
2/14 223 Drexel Home 57.8%
2/16 203 Delaware Home 53.7%
2/21 105 Northeastern Away 9.4%
2/23 58 Hofstra Away 7.4%
2/28 315 Elon Home 80.4%
3/2 226 William & Mary Home 56.3%