Kansas Jayhawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Kansas Jayhawks. All of these projections for Kansas are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Kansas Record and Rankings

Record: 15-2
Projected Final Record: 24.6-6.4

Big 12 Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 13.2-4.8
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 1

Kansas Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 7
RPI Rank: 1
NET Rank: 12
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 2 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 6-2 5-0 3-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.750 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Kansas Jayhawks a 97.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Kansas’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 46.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 33.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Kansas Jayhawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Kansas Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 4 Michigan St Neutal W 92-87
11/12 80 Vermont Home W 84-68
11/16 155 Louisiana Home W 89-76
11/21 17 Marquette Neutal W 77-68
11/23 3 Tennessee Neutal W 87-81
12/1 132 Stanford Home W 90-84
12/4 37 Wofford Home W 72-47
12/8 92 New Mexico St Neutal W 63-60
12/15 24 Villanova Home W 74-71
12/18 213 South Dakota Home W 89-53
12/22 61 Arizona St Away L 76-80
12/29 167 E Michigan Home W 87-63
1/2 22 Oklahoma Home W 70-63
1/5 18 Iowa St Away L 60-77
1/9 27 TCU Home W 77-68
1/12 58 Baylor Away W 73-68
1/14 39 Texas Home W 80-78
1/19 93 West Virginia Away 79.2%
1/21 18 Iowa St Home 74.3%
1/26 12 Kentucky Away 43.9%
1/29 39 Texas Away 61.8%
2/2 8 Texas Tech Home 64.5%
2/5 32 Kansas St Away 60.1%
2/9 74 Oklahoma St Home 90.8%
2/11 27 TCU Away 55.9%
2/16 93 West Virginia Home 91.8%
2/23 8 Texas Tech Away 43.7%
2/25 32 Kansas St Home 82.3%
3/2 74 Oklahoma St Away 69.1%
3/5 22 Oklahoma Away 55.5%
3/9 58 Baylor Home 86.1%