Kansas Jayhawks Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Kansas Jayhawks. All of these projections for Kansas are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Kansas Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 23.2-6.8

Big 12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 13.7-4.3
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 1

Kansas Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 6
RPI Rank: 13
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 1 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Kansas Jayhawks a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Kansas’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 68.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 18.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Kansas Jayhawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Kansas Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 12 Michigan St Neutal W 92-87
11/12 77 Vermont Home 92%
11/16 114 ULL Home 93%
11/21 31 Marquette Neutal 72.6%
12/1 66 Stanford Home 90.8%
12/4 120 Wofford Home 93%
12/8 36 New Mexico St Neutal 70.9%
12/15 2 Villanova Home 47.8%
12/18 121 South Dakota Home 93%
12/22 56 Arizona St Away 62.8%
12/29 117 E Michigan Home 92.6%
1/2 74 Oklahoma Home 88.9%
1/5 60 Iowa St Away 62.8%
1/9 59 TCU Home 86.4%
1/12 83 Baylor Away 69.1%
1/14 54 Texas Home 86.6%
1/19 44 West Virginia Away 64.1%
1/21 60 Iowa St Home 85.2%
1/26 11 Kentucky Away 39.2%
1/29 54 Texas Away 64.5%
2/2 29 Texas Tech Home 83%
2/5 46 Kansas St Away 64.5%
2/9 87 Oklahoma St Home 91.8%
2/11 59 TCU Away 64.5%
2/16 44 West Virginia Home 86.1%
2/23 29 Texas Tech Away 59.5%
2/25 46 Kansas St Home 86.4%
3/2 87 Oklahoma St Away 72.9%
3/5 74 Oklahoma Away 68.3%
3/9 83 Baylor Home 89.4%