Kansas State Wildcats Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Kansas State Wildcats. All of these projections for Kansas St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Kansas St Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 16.6-12.4

Big 12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 8.6-9.4
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 6

Kansas St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 46
RPI Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 10 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Kansas State Wildcats a 83.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 11.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 5.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Kansas St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 7.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 9.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 11.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 15.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 15.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 12.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 7.2%
NIT #2 Seed 2.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Kansas State Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Kansas St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 302 Kennesaw Home W 56-41
11/12 197 Denver Home 92.2%
11/16 278 E Kentucky Neutal 94%
11/24 126 Lehigh Home 83.3%
12/1 31 Marquette Away 31.7%
12/8 107 Tulsa Away 58.8%
12/15 113 Georgia St Home 81.8%
12/19 129 Southern Miss Home 88.9%
12/22 30 Vanderbilt Neutral 36.8%
12/29 207 George Mason Home 92%
1/2 54 Texas Home 60.8%
1/5 29 Texas Tech Away 29.4%
1/9 44 West Virginia Home 59.2%
1/12 60 Iowa St Away 36.2%
1/16 74 Oklahoma Away 43.5%
1/19 59 TCU Home 60.1%
1/22 29 Texas Tech Home 51.5%
1/26 70 Texas A&M Away 43.5%
2/2 87 Oklahoma St Away 48.9%
2/5 6 Kansas Home 35.5%
2/9 83 Baylor Away 43.7%
2/12 54 Texas Away 40.2%
2/16 60 Iowa St Home 56.9%
2/18 44 West Virginia Away 39.2%
2/23 87 Oklahoma St Home 71%
2/25 6 Kansas Away 13.7%
3/2 83 Baylor Home 64.9%
3/4 59 TCU Away 39.5%
3/9 74 Oklahoma Home 64.1%