Kansas State Wildcats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Kansas State Wildcats. All of these projections for Kansas St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Kansas St Record and Rankings

Record: 13-4
Projected Final Record: 20.1-10.9

Big 12 Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 9.5-8.5
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 5

Kansas St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 32
RPI Rank: 19
NET Rank: 37
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 8 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-2 2-2 5-0 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.500 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Kansas State Wildcats a 83.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 8.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 7.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Kansas St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 7.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 9.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 13.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 15.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 12.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 10.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.8%
NIT #2 Seed 2.0%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Kansas State Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Kansas St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 344 Kennesaw Home W 56-41
11/12 301 Denver Home W 64-56
11/16 240 E Kentucky Neutal W 95-68
11/18 136 Penn Neutal W 64-48
11/19 87 Missouri Neutal W 82-67
11/24 144 Lehigh Home W 77-58
12/1 17 Marquette Away L 71-83
12/8 99 Tulsa Away L 46-47
12/15 71 Georgia St Home W 71-59
12/19 159 Southern Miss Home W 55-51
12/22 106 Vanderbilt Neutal W 69-58
12/29 135 George Mason Home W 59-58
1/2 39 Texas Home L 47-67
1/5 8 Texas Tech Away L 57-63
1/9 93 West Virginia Home W 71-69
1/12 18 Iowa St Away W 58-57
1/16 22 Oklahoma Away W 74-61
1/19 27 TCU Home 52.6%
1/22 8 Texas Tech Home 42.9%
1/26 98 Texas A&M Away 61.5%
2/2 74 Oklahoma St Away 56.7%
2/5 7 Kansas Home 39.9%
2/9 58 Baylor Away 52.6%
2/12 39 Texas Away 42.2%
2/16 18 Iowa St Home 48.5%
2/18 93 West Virginia Away 58.5%
2/23 74 Oklahoma St Home 79.2%
2/25 7 Kansas Away 17.7%
3/2 58 Baylor Home 72.8%
3/4 27 TCU Away 33.2%
3/9 22 Oklahoma Home 55.5%