Lafayette Leopards Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Lafayette Leopards. All of these projections for Lafayette are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Lafayette Record and Rankings

Record: 4-12
Projected Final Record: 8.0-21.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 5.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 10

Lafayette Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 309
RPI Rank: 329
NET Rank: 289
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-1 0-4 3-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.300

Our current projections give the Lafayette Leopards a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Lafayette’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Lafayette Leopards. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Lafayette Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 299 St Peter’s Away L 86-93
11/10 272 La Salle Away W 77-76
11/13 136 Penn Away L 61-91
11/18 234 St Francis NY Home L 72-84
11/25 255 F Dickinson Away W 80-76
11/28 220 Cornell Home L 58-63
12/2 235 Sacred Heart Home L 62-64
12/5 94 Connecticut Away L 63-90
12/8 224 Quinnipiac Away L 77-88
12/19 No Rank Rosemont Home W 95-54
12/21 149 Princeton Home L 79-81
1/2 144 Lehigh Away L 83-86
1/5 253 Army Away L 69-77
1/9 302 Loyola MD Home W 85-70
1/12 176 Holy Cross Away L 70-77
1/16 268 Navy Home L 77-85
1/19 222 American Univ Away 18.9%
1/23 178 Colgate Away 14.6%
1/26 253 Army Home 45.2%
1/30 144 Lehigh Home 28.8%
2/2 150 Bucknell Home 29.7%
2/6 237 Boston Univ Away 22.8%
2/10 176 Holy Cross Home 35.5%
2/13 268 Navy Away 32.1%
2/17 302 Loyola MD Away 40.9%
2/20 222 American Univ Home 41.5%
2/23 150 Bucknell Away 13.2%
2/27 237 Boston Univ Home 44.1%
3/2 178 Colgate Home 35.9%