Lamar Cardinals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Lamar Cardinals. All of these projections for Lamar are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Lamar Record and Rankings

Record: 20-13
Projected Final Record: 20.0-13.0

Southland Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Southland Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 5

Lamar Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 212
RPI Rank: 204
NET Rank: 220
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 3-7 13-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.300 0.722

Our current projections give the Lamar Cardinals a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Lamar’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Lamar Cardinals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Lamar Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Huston-Tillot Home W 79-59
11/9 99 Georgia Tech Away L 69-88
11/11 253 East Carolina Away L 78-84
11/17 187 Prairie View Home W 74-67
11/19 No Rank Arlington Bap Home W 105-40
11/23 162 UTRGV Away L 75-77
11/27 110 SMU Away L 65-79
12/1 237 Rice Away W 75-68
12/4 9 Houston Away L 56-79
12/13 215 CS Bakersfield Away L 65-86
12/19 211 TX Southern Home W 80-72
12/21 No Rank Howard Payne Home W 121-32
12/29 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 122-58
1/2 286 Houston Bap Away L 82-88
1/5 280 TAM C. Christi Home W 61-55
1/9 220 New Orleans Home L 71-78
1/12 287 Cent Arkansas Away L 68-75
1/16 223 SE Louisiana Away L 69-76
1/23 347 Incarnate Word Home W 87-81
1/26 158 Sam Houston St Away L 59-69
1/30 309 Nicholls St Away W 90-69
2/2 331 McNeese St Away W 84-75
2/6 140 Abilene Chr Home L 64-75
2/9 298 SF Austin Away W 82-67
2/13 332 Northwestern LA Home W 75-70
2/16 158 Sam Houston St Home W 75-72
2/20 347 Incarnate Word Away W 76-58
2/23 280 TAM C. Christi Away W 63-58
2/27 286 Houston Bap Home W 110-75
3/2 298 SF Austin Home W 81-79
3/9 331 McNeese St Home W 83-58
3/13 286 Houston Bap Neutal W 81-79
3/14 220 New Orleans Neutral L 72-76