Lamar Cardinals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Lamar Cardinals. All of these projections for Lamar are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Lamar Record and Rankings

Record: 8-10
Projected Final Record: 14.6-16.4

Southland Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final Southland Record: 7.6-10.4
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 9

Lamar Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 283
RPI Rank: 306
NET Rank: 257
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 1-4 3-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.200 0.429

Our current projections give the Lamar Cardinals a 0.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Lamar’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Lamar Cardinals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Lamar Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Huston-Tillot Home W 79-59
11/9 89 Georgia Tech Away L 69-88
11/11 212 East Carolina Away L 78-84
11/17 270 Prairie View Home W 74-67
11/19 No Rank Arlington Bap Home W 105-40
11/23 191 UTRGV Away L 75-77
11/27 121 SMU Away L 65-79
12/1 254 Rice Away W 75-68
12/4 13 Houston Away L 56-79
12/13 152 CS Bakersfield Away L 65-86
12/19 198 TX Southern Home W 80-72
12/21 No Rank Howard Payne Home W 121-32
12/29 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 122-58
1/2 272 Houston Bap Away L 82-88
1/5 261 TAM C. Christi Home W 61-55
1/9 232 New Orleans Home L 71-78
1/12 237 Cent Arkansas Away L 68-75
1/16 310 SE Louisiana Away L 69-76
1/23 339 Incarnate Word Home 83%
1/26 182 Sam Houston St Away 17.2%
1/30 297 Nicholls St Away 44.5%
2/2 320 McNeese St Away 51.5%
2/6 147 Abilene Chr Home 34.7%
2/9 257 SF Austin Away 36.9%
2/13 328 Northwestern LA Home 79.2%
2/16 182 Sam Houston St Home 38.9%
2/20 339 Incarnate Word Away 61.1%
2/23 261 TAM C. Christi Away 35.9%
2/27 272 Houston Bap Home 56.5%
3/2 257 SF Austin Home 55.9%
3/9 320 McNeese St Home 68.7%