Lehigh Mountain Hawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Lehigh Mountain Hawks. All of these projections for Lehigh are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Lehigh Record and Rankings

Record: 11-5
Projected Final Record: 19.6-9.4

Patriot League Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 12.6-5.4
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 2

Lehigh Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 144
RPI Rank: 105
NET Rank: 148
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 2-1 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 1.000

Our current projections give the Lehigh Mountain Hawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 44.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 55.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Lehigh’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 2.4%
NIT #7 Seed 26.4%
NIT #8 Seed 14.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Lehigh Mountain Hawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Lehigh Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 281 Monmouth NJ Away W 85-61
11/9 91 Miami FL Away L 62-83
11/13 286 Marist Home W 78-72
11/16 149 Princeton Home W 72-57
11/21 270 Siena Away W 80-69
11/24 32 Kansas St Away L 58-77
12/1 211 Arkansas St Home W 82-70
12/5 88 Yale Away L 87-97
12/8 340 Mt St Mary’s Away W 85-78
12/22 279 St Francis PA Home W 88-76
12/30 93 West Virginia Away L 68-78
1/2 309 Lafayette Home W 86-83
1/6 302 Loyola MD Home W 89-72
1/9 176 Holy Cross Away W 99-94
1/12 178 Colgate Away L 78-91
1/16 222 American Univ Home W 83-76
1/19 150 Bucknell Home 58.8%
1/23 268 Navy Away 64.5%
1/26 237 Boston Univ Home 81.6%
1/30 309 Lafayette Away 71.2%
2/2 253 Army Away 61.8%
2/4 178 Colgate Home 64.9%
2/9 268 Navy Home 84.2%
2/11 150 Bucknell Away 41.2%
2/16 237 Boston Univ Away 59.8%
2/20 253 Army Home 82.3%
2/24 176 Holy Cross Home 65.6%
2/27 222 American Univ Away 56.5%
3/2 302 Loyola MD Away 67.2%