Long Beach State 49ers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Long Beach State 49ers. All of these projections for Long Beach St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Long Beach St Record and Rankings

Record: 8-11
Projected Final Record: 15.3-16.7

Big West Conference Record: 2-1
Projected Final Big West Record: 9.3-6.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 4

Long Beach St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 190
RPI Rank: 192
NET Rank: 182
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-5 0-3 5-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.167 0.000 0.833

Our current projections give the Long Beach State 49ers a 7.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 92.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Long Beach St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 4.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Long Beach State 49ers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Long Beach St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 96 UCLA Away L 80-91
11/10 No Rank Menlo Home W 78-57
11/12 59 Arizona St Away L 58-90
11/16 28 Mississippi St Away L 51-79
11/19 227 Iona Neutal W 86-85
11/21 114 Utah Valley Neutral L 72-87
11/25 67 Oregon St Home L 72-75
11/28 109 USC Away L 65-75
12/1 128 San Diego Away L 70-74
12/5 234 Southern Utah Home W 82-71
12/8 63 Fresno St Away L 71-92
12/10 179 Pacific Away L 68-74
12/20 189 Pepperdine Home W 67-66
12/22 215 Colorado St Home W 64-61
12/29 130 Stanford Away L 86-93
1/5 No Rank Bethesda Home W 124-52
1/12 274 UC Davis Home W 82-77
1/16 107 UC Irvine Away W 80-70
1/19 210 CS Fullerton Home L 90-92
1/23 279 CS Northridge Away 58.2%
1/26 132 UC Santa Barbara Home 43.5%
1/31 170 Hawaii Away 30.5%
2/2 107 UC Irvine Home 38.5%
2/7 170 Hawaii Home 52.9%
2/9 337 Cal Poly Away 70.3%
2/13 210 CS Fullerton Away 42.7%
2/16 274 UC Davis Away 54.4%
2/20 279 CS Northridge Home 81.6%
2/23 306 UC Riverside Away 61.1%
2/28 132 UC Santa Barbara Away 20.3%
3/2 337 Cal Poly Home 89.4%
3/6 306 UC Riverside Home 84%