Longwood Lancers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Longwood Lancers. All of these projections for Longwood are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Longwood Record and Rankings

Record: 15-17
Projected Final Record: 15.0-17.0

Big South Conference Record: 5-11
Projected Final Big South Record: 5.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 9

Longwood Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 295
RPI Rank: 315
NET Rank: 291
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 2-7 10-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.222 0.556

Our current projections give the Longwood Lancers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Longwood’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Longwood Lancers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Longwood Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Randolph Col Home W 84-56
11/9 208 Richmond Away W 63-58
11/13 352 MD E Shore Away W 66-63
11/16 353 Delaware St Home W 89-73
11/19 268 Charlotte Away L 39-42
11/23 308 Fairfield Neutal W 67-65
11/24 324 Denver Neutral L 62-64
11/25 188 Seattle Away L 50-70
12/1 275 VMI Home W 65-45
12/7 No Rank Frostburg St Home W 68-65
12/9 160 Duquesne Away L 71-80
12/13 No Rank Averett Home W 81-57
12/17 181 Cornell Away L 64-70
12/21 333 Stetson Home W 77-63
12/29 254 Citadel Away W 110-94
1/5 141 Radford Away L 64-71
1/10 349 UNC Asheville Home W 67-62
1/12 193 Charleston So Home L 91-101
1/16 184 Winthrop Away W 75-61
1/19 227 Presbyterian Away L 64-71
1/21 141 Radford Home L 59-72
1/24 229 High Point Home W 55-51
1/26 344 SC Upstate Away L 63-80
1/30 226 Hampton Home L 83-96
2/2 185 Campbell Away L 62-83
2/7 163 Gardner Webb Home L 88-89
2/13 229 High Point Away W 62-59
2/16 344 SC Upstate Home W 83-79
2/21 226 Hampton Away L 66-86
2/23 185 Campbell Home L 72-74
3/2 163 Gardner Webb Away L 47-66
3/5 226 Hampton Away L 71-77