Louisiana Lafayette Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. All of these projections for ULL are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

ULL Record and Rankings

Record: 27-7
Projected Final Record: 27.0-7.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 17-3
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 17.0-3.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 1

ULL Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 83
RPI Rank: 60
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-2 9-2 15-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.818 0.938

Our current projections give the Louisiana Lafayette a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account ULL’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 4.6%
NIT #5 Seed 9.4%
NIT #6 Seed 86.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

ULL Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 103 Mississippi Away L 76-94
11/14 No Rank Louisiana Col Home W 113-58
11/17 297 Savannah St Home W 115-82
11/20 100 Iowa George Town, Cayman Islands W 80-71
11/21 109 Wyoming George Town, Cayman Islands L 61-70
11/22 165 Richmond George Town, Cayman Islands W 82-76
11/28 305 McNeese St Home W 89-78
12/1 183 Nicholls St Away W 105-80
12/6 No Rank Loyola NO Home W 98-56
12/12 178 Louisiana Tech Away W 75-71
12/16 265 New Orleans Home W 87-65
12/19 182 SE Louisiana Home W 82-74
12/22 20 Clemson Away L 60-89
12/29 299 Ark Little Rock Away W 77-63
12/31 283 Arkansas St Away W 88-78
1/4 222 Appalachian St Home W 78-45
1/6 229 Coastal Car Home W 81-64
1/13 220 ULM Home W 82-48
1/18 140 UT Arlington Away W 77-65
1/20 230 Texas St Away W 80-55
1/25 247 South Alabama Home W 76-57
1/27 192 Troy Home W 81-69
2/3 220 ULM Away W 80-59
2/8 122 Georgia St Away L 92-106
2/10 163 Ga Southern Away W 102-91
2/15 230 Texas St Home W 73-63
2/17 140 UT Arlington Home W 100-79
2/22 192 Troy Away W 81-76
2/24 247 South Alabama Away W 88-71
3/1 283 Arkansas St Home W 85-74
3/3 299 Ark Little Rock Home L 61-72
3/9 230 Texas St New Orleans, LA W 80-54
3/10 140 UT Arlington New Orleans, LA L 68-71
3/14 62 LSU Away L 76-84