Louisiana Lafayette Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. All of these projections for ULL are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

ULL Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 22.5-9.5

Sun Belt Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 14.9-6.1
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 2

ULL Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 114
RPI Rank: 298
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Louisiana Lafayette a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 98.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account ULL’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 3.6%
NIT #5 Seed 26.8%
NIT #6 Seed 63.8%
NIT #7 Seed 1.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

ULL Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Virgin Islands Home W 121-80
11/9 7 Tennessee Away L 65-87
11/16 6 Kansas Away 7%
11/19 263 Colorado St Neutal 84.6%
11/28 300 New Orleans Away 83%
12/1 316 Southern Univ Home 96.4%
12/5 No Rank Loyola NO Home 98.7%
12/11 181 Prairie View Home 78.2%
12/15 81 Louisiana Tech Home 51.5%
12/18 317 McNeese St Away 90.8%
12/29 239 SE Louisiana Away 70.3%
1/3 306 Arkansas St Home 93.4%
1/5 291 Ark Little Rock Home 92.2%
1/10 113 Georgia St Away 42.2%
1/12 168 Ga Southern Away 57.5%
1/19 227 ULM Away 68.3%
1/24 266 South Alabama Home 91.1%
1/26 194 Troy Home 82.6%
1/31 174 Appalachian St Away 56.3%
2/2 138 Coastal Car Away 47.4%
2/6 168 Ga Southern Home 78.7%
2/7 168 Ga Southern Home 78.7%
2/8 113 Georgia St Home 58.8%
2/9 113 Georgia St Home 58.8%
2/16 227 ULM Home 86.6%
2/21 127 UT Arlington Away 50.4%
2/23 230 Texas St Away 67.2%
2/28 138 Coastal Car Home 65.6%
3/2 174 Appalachian St Home 75.7%
3/3 174 Appalachian St Home 75.7%
3/7 291 Ark Little Rock Away 81.6%
3/9 306 Arkansas St Away 84.5%