Louisiana Lafayette Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. All of these projections for Louisiana are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Louisiana Record and Rankings

Record: 11-7
Projected Final Record: 18.7-12.3

Sun Belt Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 9.7-8.3
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 5

Louisiana Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 167
RPI Rank: 147
NET Rank: 172
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 0-2 1-1 7-1
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.000 0.500 0.875

Our current projections give the Louisiana Lafayette a 10.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 89.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Louisiana’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Louisiana Lafayette. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Louisiana Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Virgin Islands Home W 121-80
11/9 4 Tennessee Away L 65-87
11/16 7 Kansas Away L 76-89
11/19 215 Colorado St Neutal W 91-73
11/20 62 Toledo Neutral L 64-77
11/21 311 Tulane Neutal W 68-61
11/28 232 New Orleans Away W 77-73
12/1 343 Southern Univ Home W 88-78
12/5 No Rank Loyola NO Home W 97-84
12/11 270 Prairie View Home W 122-90
12/15 136 Louisiana Tech Home L 62-83
12/18 320 McNeese St Away W 80-67
12/29 310 SE Louisiana Away W 73-72
1/3 228 Arkansas St Home L 83-94
1/5 266 Ark Little Rock Home W 75-61
1/10 87 Georgia St Away L 76-89
1/12 124 Ga Southern Away W 87-85
1/19 149 ULM Away L 95-99
1/24 276 South Alabama Home 83.5%
1/26 183 Troy Home 67.2%
1/31 303 Appalachian St Away 65.3%
2/2 214 Coastal Car Away 54%
2/6 124 Ga Southern Home 45.6%
2/8 87 Georgia St Home 40.5%
2/16 149 ULM Home 56.5%
2/21 209 UT Arlington Away 56.3%
2/23 98 Texas St Away 22.8%
2/28 214 Coastal Car Home 71%
3/3 303 Appalachian St Home 83.8%
3/7 266 Ark Little Rock Away 60.5%
3/9 228 Arkansas St Away 58.5%