Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks. All of these projections for ULM are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

ULM Record and Rankings

Record: 18-15
Projected Final Record: 18.0-15.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 9-9
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 7

ULM Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 165
RPI Rank: 171
NET Rank: 151
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-5 2-2 2-4 13-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.333 0.765

Our current projections give the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account ULM’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

ULM Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 327 Jackson St Away W 75-66
11/10 No Rank Millsaps Home W 94-52
11/12 40 Texas Away L 55-65
11/14 6 Michigan St Away L 59-80
11/23 328 Tennessee Tech Away L 73-79
11/27 332 Northwestern LA Away W 80-52
12/1 38 Mississippi Away L 60-83
12/11 297 Grambling Home W 72-67
12/15 298 SF Austin Home W 74-58
12/18 309 Nicholls St Home W 95-68
12/21 340 Coppin St Home W 80-63
12/28 13 LSU Away L 69-81
1/3 270 Ark Little Rock Home W 97-84
1/5 244 Arkansas St Home W 85-75
1/10 118 Ga Southern Away L 78-79
1/12 93 Georgia St Away L 73-74
1/19 170 Louisiana Home W 99-95
1/24 243 Troy Home W 75-69
1/26 207 South Alabama Home L 72-78
1/31 183 Coastal Car Away L 81-92
2/2 228 Appalachian St Away L 84-85
2/6 93 Georgia St Home W 82-76
2/8 118 Ga Southern Home W 88-79
2/16 170 Louisiana Away L 76-83
2/21 128 Texas St Away W 63-60
2/23 147 UT Arlington Away L 86-91
2/28 228 Appalachian St Home W 81-75
3/2 183 Coastal Car Home L 91-97
3/7 244 Arkansas St Away L 72-73
3/9 270 Ark Little Rock Away W 79-62
3/12 228 Appalachian St Home W 89-80
3/14 183 Coastal Car Neutal W 80-50
3/15 118 Ga Southern Neutral L 67-81