Loyola Chicago Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Chicago. All of these projections for Loyola-Chicago are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Loyola-Chicago Record and Rankings

Record: 20-13
Projected Final Record: 20.0-13.0

MVC Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final MVC Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 1

Loyola-Chicago Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 130
RPI Rank: 131
NET Rank: 127
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 1-2 7-6 10-3
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.333 0.538 0.769

Our current projections give the Loyola Chicago a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loyola-Chicago’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Chicago. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loyola-Chicago Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 246 Missouri KC Home W 76-45
11/9 59 Furman Home L 58-60
11/14 303 Niagara Home W 75-62
11/16 297 Grambling Home W 80-64
11/19 208 Richmond Neutal W 82-66
11/21 119 Boston College Neutral L 66-78
11/27 28 Nevada Home L 65-79
12/1 201 IL Chicago Away W 73-64
12/5 149 Ball St Home L 69-75
12/8 26 Maryland Neutral L 41-55
12/16 258 Norfolk St Home W 80-49
12/18 No Rank Benedictine IL Home W 75-47
12/22 178 St Joseph’s PA Away L 42-45
1/2 189 Indiana St Home W 79-44
1/5 111 Drake Away W 85-74
1/8 236 Evansville Away L 48-67
1/12 179 Illinois St Home W 67-64
1/15 209 Valparaiso Home W 71-54
1/19 189 Indiana St Away W 75-67
1/23 175 Missouri St Away L 35-70
1/27 148 S Illinois Home W 75-50
1/30 169 Northern Iowa Home W 61-60
2/2 179 Illinois St Away L 57-65
2/5 111 Drake Home W 86-64
2/10 209 Valparaiso Away W 56-51
2/13 153 Bradley Away L 54-61
2/17 175 Missouri St Home L 61-65
2/20 236 Evansville Home W 70-58
2/24 148 S Illinois Away L 53-63
2/27 169 Northern Iowa Away W 56-55
3/2 153 Bradley Home W 81-68
3/8 209 Valparaiso Neutal W 67-54
3/9 153 Bradley Neutral L 51-53