Loyola Chicago Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Chicago. All of these projections for Loyola-Chicago are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Loyola-Chicago Record and Rankings

Record: 23-5
Projected Final Record: 24.4-5.6

MVC Conference Record: 13-3
Projected Final MVC Record: 14.4-3.6
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 1

Loyola-Chicago Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 60
RPI Rank: 41
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 12 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 3-2 11-0 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.600 1.000 0.778

Our current projections give the Loyola Chicago a 5.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 94.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loyola-Chicago’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 9.6%
NIT #2 Seed 11.0%
NIT #3 Seed 17.4%
NIT #4 Seed 35.4%
NIT #5 Seed 20.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Chicago. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loyola-Chicago Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 133 Wright St Home W 84-80
11/12 No Rank Eureka Home W 96-69
11/16 270 Missouri KC Away W 66-56
11/19 294 Samford Home W 88-67
11/21 350 MS Valley St Home W 63-50
11/24 246 UNC Wilmington Savannah, GA W 102-78
11/25 196 Kent Savannah, GA W 75-60
11/28 59 Boise St Away L 53-87
12/2 201 IL Chicago Home W 85-61
12/6 35 Florida Away W 65-59
12/9 299 Norfolk St Home W 80-52
12/16 214 WI Milwaukee Away L 56-73
12/22 116 Missouri St Away L 59-64
12/30 141 Evansville Home W 66-59
1/3 170 Indiana St Home L 57-61
1/7 144 Northern Iowa Away W 56-50
1/10 131 Illinois St Away W 68-61
1/13 124 Bradley Home W 81-65
1/17 105 S Illinois Home W 79-65
1/21 164 Valparaiso Away W 70-54
1/24 137 Drake Away W 80-57
1/28 144 Northern Iowa Home W 70-47
1/31 124 Bradley Away L 67-69
2/3 116 Missouri St Home W 97-75
2/7 137 Drake Home W 72-57
2/10 170 Indiana St Away W 75-71
2/14 164 Valparaiso Home W 80-71
2/18 141 Evansville Away W 76-66
2/21 105 S Illinois Away 57.8%
2/24 131 Illinois St Home 85%