Loyola Chicago Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Chicago. All of these projections for Loyola-Chicago are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Loyola-Chicago Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 21.8-8.2

MVC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final MVC Record: 13.6-4.4
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 1

Loyola-Chicago Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 61
RPI Rank: 215
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Loyola Chicago a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loyola-Chicago’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 5.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 7.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 14.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 43.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 19.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Chicago. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loyola-Chicago Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 326 Missouri KC Home W 76-45
11/9 40 Furman Home L 58-60
11/14 187 Niagara Home 91.8%
11/16 275 Grambling Home 95.7%
11/19 199 Richmond Neutral 81.7%
11/27 16 Nevada Home 37.2%
12/1 200 IL Chicago Away 74.3%
12/5 99 Ball St Home 68.7%
12/8 37 Maryland Neutral 36.7%
12/16 251 Norfolk St Home 93.4%
12/18 No Rank Benedictine KS Home 99.2%
12/22 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 40.2%
1/2 195 Indiana St Home 91.8%
1/5 171 Drake Away 65.3%
1/8 189 Evansville Away 67.2%
1/12 157 Illinois St Home 86.6%
1/15 172 Valparaiso Home 85.9%
1/19 195 Indiana St Away 72.9%
1/23 151 Missouri St Away 62.5%
1/27 158 S Illinois Home 86.4%
1/30 148 Northern Iowa Home 83.5%
2/2 157 Illinois St Away 64.5%
2/5 171 Drake Home 86.8%
2/10 172 Valparaiso Away 63.4%
2/13 152 Bradley Away 62.8%
2/17 151 Missouri St Home 85%
2/20 189 Evansville Home 88.1%
2/24 158 S Illinois Away 64.5%
2/27 148 Northern Iowa Away 60.5%
3/2 152 Bradley Home 85.4%