Loyola Chicago Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Chicago. All of these projections for Loyola-Chicago are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Loyola-Chicago Record and Rankings

Record: 11-7
Projected Final Record: 19.7-11.3

MVC Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final MVC Record: 12.7-5.3
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 1

Loyola-Chicago Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 111
RPI Rank: 122
NET Rank: 108
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 0-1 2-4 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.000 0.333 1.000

Our current projections give the Loyola Chicago a 38.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 5.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 56.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loyola-Chicago’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 5.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 10.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 16.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Chicago. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loyola-Chicago Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 243 Missouri KC Home W 76-45
11/9 66 Furman Home L 58-60
11/14 290 Niagara Home W 75-62
11/16 311 Grambling Home W 80-64
11/19 228 Richmond Neutal W 82-66
11/21 128 Boston College Neutral L 66-78
11/27 20 Nevada Home L 65-79
12/1 198 IL Chicago Away W 73-64
12/5 107 Ball St Home L 69-75
12/8 15 Maryland Neutral L 41-55
12/16 258 Norfolk St Home W 80-49
12/18 No Rank Benedictine IL Home W 75-47
12/22 164 St Joseph’s PA Away L 42-45
1/2 163 Indiana St Home W 79-44
1/5 122 Drake Away W 85-74
1/8 171 Evansville Away L 48-67
1/12 172 Illinois St Home W 67-64
1/15 175 Valparaiso Home W 71-54
1/19 163 Indiana St Away 56.7%
1/23 196 Missouri St Away 61.8%
1/27 148 S Illinois Home 71.8%
1/30 191 Northern Iowa Home 83%
2/2 172 Illinois St Away 56.9%
2/5 122 Drake Home 63.1%
2/10 175 Valparaiso Away 57.1%
2/13 219 Bradley Away 62.8%
2/17 196 Missouri St Home 82.8%
2/20 171 Evansville Home 78.7%
2/24 148 S Illinois Away 51.1%
2/27 191 Northern Iowa Away 59.8%
3/2 219 Bradley Home 84%