Loyola Marymount Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. All of these projections for Loy Marymount are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Loy Marymount Record and Rankings

Record: 20-11
Projected Final Record: 20.0-11.0

WCC Conference Record: 8-8
Projected Final WCC Record: 8.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 5

Loy Marymount Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 134
RPI Rank: 121
NET Rank: 142
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 2-4 5-3 11-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.625 0.917

Our current projections give the Loyola Marymount Lions a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loy Marymount’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loy Marymount Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Westcliff Home W 75-43
11/10 156 UNLV Away W 61-50
11/13 269 CS Northridge Home W 79-64
11/16 68 Georgetown Neutal W 65-52
11/18 171 Ohio Neutal W 65-56
11/21 322 Central Conn Home W 76-74
11/24 326 Florida A&M Home W 71-63
11/29 No Rank Bethesda Home W 106-50
12/2 116 UCLA Away L 58-82
12/5 190 CS Fullerton Away W 59-49
12/15 264 Portland St Away W 85-58
12/19 182 Boise St Home W 70-69
12/22 316 UC Riverside Away L 53-60
12/28 260 UC Davis Home W 77-59
1/3 167 Pepperdine Away L 62-77
1/5 329 Portland Home W 76-64
1/12 39 St Mary’s CA Home L 60-71
1/17 7 Gonzaga Away L 55-73
1/19 167 Pepperdine Home W 74-70
1/24 102 San Diego Away L 58-71
1/26 172 Santa Clara Away W 69-61
1/31 199 Pacific Home W 60-42
2/2 90 BYU Away L 49-67
2/7 102 San Diego Home L 63-65
2/9 329 Portland Away W 72-55
2/14 7 Gonzaga Home L 60-73
2/16 90 BYU Home L 62-70
2/23 199 Pacific Away W 63-56
2/28 172 Santa Clara Home W 72-70
3/2 94 San Francisco Away W 74-69
3/8 167 Pepperdine Neutral L 65-68