Loyola Marymount Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. All of these projections for Loy Marymount are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Loy Marymount Record and Rankings

Record: 13-4
Projected Final Record: 18.7-11.3

WCC Conference Record: 1-2
Projected Final WCC Record: 6.7-9.3
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 7

Loy Marymount Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 143
RPI Rank: 146
NET Rank: 155
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-0 3-2 7-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.600 0.875

Our current projections give the Loyola Marymount Lions a 2.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 3.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 94.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loy Marymount’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loy Marymount Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Westcliff Home W 75-43
11/10 165 UNLV Away W 61-50
11/13 273 CS Northridge Home W 79-64
11/16 85 Georgetown Neutal W 65-52
11/18 147 Ohio Neutal W 65-56
11/21 217 Central Conn Home W 76-74
11/24 316 Florida A&M Home W 71-63
11/29 No Rank Bethesda Home W 106-50
12/2 83 UCLA Away L 58-82
12/5 254 CS Fullerton Away W 59-49
12/15 289 Portland St Away W 85-58
12/19 154 Boise St Home W 70-69
12/22 314 UC Riverside Away L 53-60
12/28 274 UC Davis Home W 77-59
1/3 182 Pepperdine Away L 62-77
1/5 310 Portland Home W 76-64
1/12 64 St Mary’s CA Home L 60-71
1/17 6 Gonzaga Away 1.5%
1/19 182 Pepperdine Home 73.3%
1/24 129 San Diego Away 30.1%
1/26 192 Santa Clara Away 54%
1/31 169 Pacific Home 66.4%
2/2 116 BYU Away 27.2%
2/7 129 San Diego Home 53.7%
2/9 310 Portland Away 70.3%
2/14 6 Gonzaga Home 9.4%
2/16 116 BYU Home 51.5%
2/23 169 Pacific Away 43.5%
2/28 192 Santa Clara Home 76.7%
3/2 52 San Francisco Away 15.5%