Loyola Marymount Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. All of these projections for Loy Marymount are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Loy Marymount Record and Rankings

Record: 9-1
Projected Final Record: 21.6-8.4

WCC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final WCC Record: 9.2-6.8
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 5

Loy Marymount Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 83
RPI Rank: 42
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 1-0 1-0 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.500 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Loyola Marymount Lions a 9.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 30.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 60.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Loy Marymount’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.2%
NIT #2 Seed 3.0%
NIT #3 Seed 6.8%
NIT #4 Seed 4.8%
NIT #5 Seed 6.8%
NIT #6 Seed 5.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Loyola Marymount Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Loy Marymount Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Westcliff Home W 75-43
11/10 153 UNLV Away W 61-50
11/13 291 CS Northridge Home W 79-64
11/16 84 Georgetown Neutal W 65-52
11/18 143 Ohio Neutal W 65-56
11/21 191 Central Conn Home W 76-74
11/24 302 Florida A&M Home W 71-63
11/29 No Rank Bethesda Home W 106-50
12/2 52 UCLA Away L 58-82
12/5 226 CS Fullerton Away W 59-49
12/15 213 Portland St Away 72.5%
12/19 183 Boise St Home 87.5%
12/22 301 UC Riverside Away 86.8%
12/28 249 UC Davis Home 92.6%
1/3 195 Pepperdine Away 65.3%
1/5 238 Portland Home 92.2%
1/12 69 St Mary’s CA Home 57.3%
1/17 4 Gonzaga Away 6.6%
1/19 195 Pepperdine Home 87.5%
1/24 61 San Diego Away 34.4%
1/26 290 Santa Clara Away 80.9%
1/31 164 Pacific Home 84%
2/2 65 BYU Away 35.1%
2/7 61 San Diego Home 56.9%
2/9 238 Portland Away 70.3%
2/14 4 Gonzaga Home 20.8%
2/16 65 BYU Home 57.3%
2/23 164 Pacific Away 57.8%
2/28 290 Santa Clara Home 92.6%
3/2 39 San Francisco Away 23.3%