MAAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MAAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

MAAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Iona 17 15 17 15 12 6 12 6
2 Canisius 15 17 15 17 11 7 11 7
3 Quinnipiac 16 14 16 14 11 7 11 7
4 Rider 16 15 16 15 11 7 11 7
5 Siena 17 16 17 16 11 7 11 7
6 Monmouth NJ 14 21 14 21 10 8 10 8
7 Manhattan 11 21 11 21 8 10 8 10
8 Marist 12 19 12 19 7 11 7 11
9 St Peter’s 10 22 10 22 6 12 6 12
10 Fairfield 9 22 9 22 6 12 6 12
11 Niagara 13 19 13 19 6 12 6 12

Projected MAAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Iona 16 -3.574

Projected MAAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Iona 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Canisius 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Quinnipiac 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Rider 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Siena 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Monmouth NJ 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Manhattan 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Marist 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
St Peter’s 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

MAAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The MAAC Conference Basketball Tournament is currently played on the home court of the Siena Saints. Starting in the 2020 season, the tournament will move to Atlantic City’s Boardwalk Hall.

Regular Season Champion: Iona
Tournament Site: Times-Union Center (Albany, NY)
First Round: March 7th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 8th and 9th, 2019
Semifinals: March 10th, 2019
Finals: March 11th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Iona
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Canisius
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
Quinnipiac
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Rider
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Siena
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Monmouth NJ
100%
100%
100%
0%
7
Manhattan
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Marist
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
St Peter’s
100%
0%
0%
0%
10
Fairfield
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Niagara
0%
0%
0%
0%

MAAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC