MAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Mid-American Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

MAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Buffalo 31 3 31 3 16 2 16 2
2 Toledo 25 7 25 7 13 5 13 5
3 Bowling Green 22 12 22 12 12 6 12 6
4 Kent 22 10 22 10 11 7 11 7
5 C Michigan 23 11 23 11 10 8 10 8
6 E Michigan 15 17 15 17 9 9 9 9
7 N Illinois 17 17 17 17 8 10 8 10
8 Akron 17 16 17 16 8 10 8 10
9 Miami OH 15 17 15 17 7 11 7 11
10 Ohio 14 17 14 17 6 12 6 12
11 Ball St 16 17 16 17 6 12 6 12
12 W Michigan 8 24 8 24 2 16 2 16

Projected MAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mid-American Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Buffalo 6 8.473

Projected MAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Mid-American Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Buffalo 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Toledo 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Bowling Green 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Kent 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
C Michigan 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
E Michigan 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
N Illinois 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Akron 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Miami OH 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

MAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mid-American Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The first four seeds of the MAC Championship Tournament gets byes into the Quarterfinal Round. The 5th though 12th seed will play their First Round match at the site of the higher seed.

Regular Season Champion: Buffalo
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Quicken Loans Arena (Cleveland, OH)
First Round: March 11th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Buffalo
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Toledo
100%
0%
0%
0%
3
Bowling Green
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Kent
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
C Michigan
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
E Michigan
0%
0%
0%
0%
7
N Illinois
100%
100%
0%
0%
8
Akron
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Miami OH
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Ohio
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Ball St
100%
0%
0%
0%
12
W Michigan
0%
0%
0%
0%

MAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC