Maine Black Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Maine Black Bears. All of these projections for Maine are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Maine Record and Rankings

Record: 5-27
Projected Final Record: 5.0-27.0

America East Conference Record: 3-13
Projected Final America East Record: 3.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 8

Maine Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 336
RPI Rank: 336
NET Rank: 335
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-6 0-8 4-11
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.267

Our current projections give the Maine Black Bears a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Maine’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Maine Black Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Maine Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 324 Denver Away L 50-63
11/8 96 Utah Away L 61-75
11/10 94 San Francisco Away L 50-93
11/17 33 NC State Away L 63-82
11/20 164 North Texas Away L 63-74
11/25 240 Quinnipiac Away L 50-58
11/28 152 Princeton Home L 59-73
12/1 311 St Peter’s Away L 59-63
12/4 265 Fordham Home W 75-68
12/8 245 Dartmouth Away L 52-78
12/10 No Rank ME Machias Home W 98-43
12/16 160 Duquesne Away L 46-72
12/22 322 Central Conn Home L 90-93
12/29 82 Rutgers Away L 55-70
1/2 145 Brown Away L 67-75
1/5 206 UMBC Away L 52-61
1/9 85 Vermont Home L 49-73
1/12 281 Albany NY Away W 66-62
1/16 197 Hartford Home L 76-77
1/19 157 Stony Brook Home L 61-64
1/26 321 Binghamton Away L 66-78
1/30 274 MA Lowell Away W 78-59
2/3 341 New Hampshire Home W 62-53
2/6 85 Vermont Away L 63-86
2/10 206 UMBC Home L 66-67
2/13 197 Hartford Away L 73-81
2/17 281 Albany NY Home L 54-63
2/23 157 Stony Brook Away L 53-81
2/27 274 MA Lowell Home L 61-70
3/2 321 Binghamton Home L 60-83
3/5 341 New Hampshire Away L 53-60
3/9 85 Vermont Away L 57-73