Maine Black Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Maine Black Bears. All of these projections for Maine are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Maine Record and Rankings

Record: 3-16
Projected Final Record: 7.6-23.4

America East Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final America East Record: 5.6-10.4
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 6

Maine Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 321
RPI Rank: 298
NET Rank: 328
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-5 0-5 2-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.286

Our current projections give the Maine Black Bears a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Maine’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Maine Black Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Maine Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 301 Denver Away L 50-63
11/8 119 Utah Away L 61-75
11/10 52 San Francisco Away L 50-93
11/17 36 NC State Away L 63-82
11/20 79 North Texas Away L 63-74
11/25 224 Quinnipiac Away L 50-58
11/28 149 Princeton Home L 59-73
12/1 299 St Peter’s Away L 59-63
12/4 239 Fordham Home W 75-68
12/8 207 Dartmouth Away L 52-78
12/10 No Rank ME Machias Home W 98-43
12/16 141 Duquesne Away L 46-72
12/22 217 Central Conn Home L 90-93
12/29 113 Rutgers Away L 55-70
1/2 133 Brown Away L 67-75
1/5 263 UMBC Away L 52-61
1/9 80 Vermont Home L 49-73
1/12 304 Albany NY Away W 66-62
1/16 190 Hartford Home L 76-77
1/19 102 Stony Brook Home 19.1%
1/26 336 Binghamton Away 45.6%
1/30 218 MA Lowell Away 15.5%
2/3 345 New Hampshire Home 81.6%
2/6 80 Vermont Away 6.3%
2/10 263 UMBC Home 44.9%
2/13 190 Hartford Away 14.1%
2/17 304 Albany NY Home 56.1%
2/23 102 Stony Brook Away 7.4%
2/27 218 MA Lowell Home 41.5%
3/2 336 Binghamton Home 68.3%
3/5 345 New Hampshire Away 55.7%