Manhattan Jaspers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Manhattan Jaspers. All of these projections for Manhattan are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Manhattan Record and Rankings

Record: 11-21
Projected Final Record: 11.0-21.0

MAAC Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final MAAC Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 7

Manhattan Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 307
RPI Rank: 316
NET Rank: 318
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 2-7 9-12
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.222 0.429

Our current projections give the Manhattan Jaspers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Manhattan’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Manhattan Jaspers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Manhattan Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 288 Elon Home L 56-62
11/12 206 UMBC Away L 52-75
11/16 183 Coastal Car Neutal W 55-53
11/17 113 N Kentucky Away L 53-59
11/18 349 UNC Asheville Neutal W 54-38
11/24 276 G Washington Away L 43-70
12/1 265 Fordham Home L 56-57
12/5 157 Stony Brook Home L 62-69
12/10 95 Hofstra Home L 50-80
12/15 106 Connecticut Away L 46-61
12/20 281 Albany NY Away L 67-77
12/23 272 St Francis NY Away L 56-72
1/3 240 Quinnipiac Home L 59-63
1/5 303 Niagara Home W 90-80
1/8 293 Marist Away L 63-78
1/12 261 Monmouth NJ Away L 49-65
1/17 311 St Peter’s Away W 58-56
1/19 225 Rider Away L 47-60
1/21 293 Marist Home L 46-62
1/26 234 Siena Away L 40-53
1/31 308 Fairfield Home W 62-49
2/2 311 St Peter’s Home W 64-50
2/5 225 Rider Home W 73-66
2/8 234 Siena Home L 49-51
2/15 303 Niagara Away W 64-60
2/17 259 Canisius Away W 70-65
2/22 195 Iona Home L 52-66
2/24 308 Fairfield Away L 59-72
3/1 261 Monmouth NJ Home L 54-62
3/3 240 Quinnipiac Away W 62-58
3/7 308 Fairfield Neutal W 57-53
3/8 259 Canisius Neutral L 65-69