Manhattan Jaspers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Manhattan Jaspers. All of these projections for Manhattan are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Manhattan Record and Rankings

Record: 3-13
Projected Final Record: 6.7-23.3

MAAC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final MAAC Record: 4.7-13.3
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 11

Manhattan Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 339
RPI Rank: 345
NET Rank: 338
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-3 0-2 3-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.273

Our current projections give the Manhattan Jaspers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Manhattan’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Manhattan Jaspers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Manhattan Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 334 Elon Home L 56-62
11/12 263 UMBC Away L 52-75
11/16 229 Coastal Car Neutal W 55-53
11/17 109 N Kentucky Away L 53-59
11/18 353 UNC Asheville Neutal W 54-38
11/24 252 G Washington Away L 43-70
12/1 239 Fordham Home L 56-57
12/5 102 Stony Brook Home L 62-69
12/10 70 Hofstra Home L 50-80
12/15 94 Connecticut Away L 46-61
12/20 304 Albany NY Away L 67-77
12/23 234 St Francis NY Away L 56-72
1/3 224 Quinnipiac Home L 59-63
1/5 290 Niagara Home W 90-80
1/8 286 Marist Away L 63-78
1/12 281 Monmouth NJ Away L 49-65
1/17 299 St Peter’s Away 18.4%
1/19 170 Rider Away 7.4%
1/21 286 Marist Home 41.5%
1/26 270 Siena Away 15.3%
1/31 267 Fairfield Home 39.2%
2/2 299 St Peter’s Home 44.1%
2/5 170 Rider Home 22.8%
2/8 270 Siena Home 40.5%
2/15 290 Niagara Away 18.9%
2/17 266 Canisius Away 15.8%
2/22 238 Iona Home 38.2%
2/24 267 Fairfield Away 15.5%
3/1 281 Monmouth NJ Home 43.3%
3/3 224 Quinnipiac Away 13.9%