Marist Red Foxes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Marist Red Foxes. All of these projections for Marist are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Marist Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 11.7-18.3

MAAC Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final MAAC Record: 6.7-11.3
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 9

Marist Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 288
RPI Rank: 291
NET Rank: 288
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 0-3 6-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.500

Our current projections give the Marist Red Foxes a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 98.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Marist’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Marist Red Foxes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Marist Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 240 Army Away L 69-73
11/10 282 Columbia Home W 82-76
11/13 146 Lehigh Away L 72-78
11/20 257 SF Austin Away L 60-64
11/24 9 Buffalo Away L 49-76
11/29 199 Dartmouth Neutal W 76-58
11/30 253 LIU Brooklyn Neutal W 70-53
12/8 345 Stetson Away W 79-75
12/15 166 Colgate Away L 66-82
12/19 347 New Hampshire Away W 58-49
12/22 135 Brown Home L 53-78
12/29 200 Hartford Away L 56-65
1/3 233 Canisius Home L 72-75
1/8 333 Manhattan Home W 78-63
1/11 260 Siena Home L 66-71
1/13 314 St Peter’s Away L 63-72
1/18 227 Iona Away L 77-90
1/21 333 Manhattan Away 56.7%
1/25 263 Quinnipiac Home 55.5%
1/27 169 Rider Away 13.7%
1/31 227 Iona Home 46%
2/2 289 Fairfield Home 60.5%
2/4 233 Canisius Away 26.7%
2/8 280 Niagara Home 60.8%
2/15 263 Quinnipiac Away 32.8%
2/17 265 Monmouth NJ Away 34.4%
2/22 314 St Peter’s Home 69.1%
2/24 260 Siena Away 32.8%
3/1 289 Fairfield Away 39.2%
3/3 169 Rider Home 38.5%