Marist Red Foxes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Marist Red Foxes. All of these projections for Marist are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Marist Record and Rankings

Record: 12-19
Projected Final Record: 12.0-19.0

MAAC Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final MAAC Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 8

Marist Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 293
RPI Rank: 287
NET Rank: 278
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 3-5 9-11
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.375 0.450

Our current projections give the Marist Red Foxes a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Marist’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Marist Red Foxes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Marist Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 251 Army Away L 69-73
11/10 203 Columbia Home W 82-76
11/13 159 Lehigh Away L 72-78
11/20 298 SF Austin Away L 60-64
11/24 18 Buffalo Away L 49-76
11/29 245 Dartmouth Neutal W 76-58
11/30 263 LIU Brooklyn Neutal W 70-53
12/8 333 Stetson Away W 79-75
12/15 127 Colgate Away L 66-82
12/19 341 New Hampshire Away W 58-49
12/22 145 Brown Home L 53-78
12/29 197 Hartford Away L 56-65
1/3 259 Canisius Home L 72-75
1/8 307 Manhattan Home W 78-63
1/11 234 Siena Home L 66-71
1/13 311 St Peter’s Away L 63-72
1/18 195 Iona Away L 77-90
1/21 307 Manhattan Away W 62-46
1/25 240 Quinnipiac Home L 78-92
1/27 225 Rider Away L 85-86
1/31 195 Iona Home W 78-74
2/2 308 Fairfield Home L 52-57
2/4 259 Canisius Away W 78-71
2/8 303 Niagara Home W 79-58
2/15 240 Quinnipiac Away W 63-61
2/17 261 Monmouth NJ Away W 75-67
2/22 311 St Peter’s Home L 59-65
2/24 234 Siena Away L 55-67
3/1 308 Fairfield Away L 44-59
3/3 225 Rider Home L 64-75
3/7 311 St Peter’s Neutral L 68-71