Marquette Golden Eagles Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Marquette Golden Eagles. All of these projections for Marquette are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Marquette Record and Rankings

Record: 15-11
Projected Final Record: 17.3-12.7

Big East Conference Record: 6-8
Projected Final Big East Record: 8.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 7

Marquette Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 47
RPI Rank: 60
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-8 3-3 2-0 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.500 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Marquette Golden Eagles a 32.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 60.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 7.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Marquette’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 6.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 9.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 10.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 15.2%
NIT #2 Seed 15.8%
NIT #3 Seed 16.6%
NIT #4 Seed 9.6%
NIT #5 Seed 2.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Marquette Golden Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Marquette Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 249 Mt St Mary’s Home W 80-59
11/14 7 Purdue Home L 71-86
11/20 128 VA Commonwealth Lahaina, HI W 94-83
11/21 17 Wichita St Lahaina, HI L 66-80
11/22 57 LSU Lahaina, HI W 94-84
11/27 260 E Illinois Home W 86-83
11/29 348 Chicago St Home W 95-69
12/2 58 Georgia Home L 66-73
12/5 63 Vermont Home W 91-81
12/9 93 Wisconsin Away W 82-63
12/18 234 N Illinois Home W 79-70
12/21 332 American Univ Home W 92-51
12/27 5 Xavier Home L 87-91
12/30 77 Georgetown Home W 74-65
1/3 55 Providence Away W 95-90
1/6 2 Villanova Away L 90-100
1/9 36 Seton Hall Home W 84-64
1/12 29 Butler Away L 83-94
1/15 102 DePaul Home W 70-52
1/24 5 Xavier Away L 70-89
1/28 2 Villanova Home L 82-85
1/31 29 Butler Home L 72-92
2/3 55 Providence Home L 75-77
2/7 36 Seton Hall Away W 88-85
2/10 64 St John’s Away L 78-86
2/17 24 Creighton Away W 90-86
2/21 64 St John’s Home 70.3%
2/24 102 DePaul Away 57.1%
2/26 77 Georgetown Away 52.2%
3/3 24 Creighton Home 53.7%