Marquette Golden Eagles Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Marquette Golden Eagles. All of these projections for Marquette are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Marquette Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 19.4-10.6

Big East Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big East Record: 10.4-7.6
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 4

Marquette Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 31
RPI Rank: 142
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Last 4 Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Marquette Golden Eagles a 13.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 48.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 38.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Marquette’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.2%
NIT #2 Seed 6.2%
NIT #3 Seed 17.4%
NIT #4 Seed 12.2%
NIT #5 Seed 10.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Marquette Golden Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Marquette Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 139 UMBC Home W 67-42
11/10 298 Bethune-Cookman Home W 92-59
11/14 20 Indiana Away 18.9%
11/17 250 Presbyterian Home 97.7%
11/21 6 Kansas Neutral 27.4%
11/27 221 Charleston So Home 95.1%
12/1 46 Kansas St Home 68.3%
12/4 217 UTEP Home 95.7%
12/8 39 Wisconsin Home 59.8%
12/18 248 North Dakota Home 98.6%
12/21 18 Buffalo Home 48.9%
12/28 316 Southern Univ Home 98.7%
1/1 72 St John’s Away 51.8%
1/6 50 Xavier Home 81.1%
1/9 53 Creighton Away 46.3%
1/12 27 Seton Hall Home 57.3%
1/15 124 Georgetown Away 64.5%
1/20 71 Providence Home 78.2%
1/23 98 DePaul Home 84.2%
1/26 50 Xavier Away 55.7%
1/30 28 Butler Away 35.1%
2/5 72 St John’s Home 78.2%
2/9 2 Villanova Home 31.7%
2/12 98 DePaul Away 58.5%
2/20 28 Butler Home 57.8%
2/23 71 Providence Away 51.8%
2/27 2 Villanova Away 8.9%
3/3 53 Creighton Home 71%
3/6 27 Seton Hall Away 34.4%
3/9 124 Georgetown Home 88.6%